Tyler Shough
Nova has Tyler Shough, 151st overall, QB, NO, Tier 7, -61.5 VORP, 237.3 projected PPR points, 16.7 PPR points per game. Current PPR ADP is 137.1, so Nova is below the room on price. The modeled PPR range runs from 72 to 358 points.
Editorial preseason rankings are shown separately from directional model projections, VORP, and tiers.
The 2026 Role
New Orleans lists Shough ahead of Spencer Rattler and Zach Wilson. Chris Olave and Devaughn Vele appear with the first-team receivers on the team's chart. Team source, checked September 7.
Our stored 2025 usage sample covers 11 games: 4.1 rushing attempts per game; 16.9 rushing yards per game. These describe last season, not a promise of the same 2026 workload.
Our Draft Read
Our editorial board places Tyler Shough at QB20 in PPR. The separate directional season projection is 237.3 PPR points. The ranking is draft order, not a claim that this projection has been newly validated. Captured PPR ADP 137.1 overall; ADP describes draft cost, not a positional finish prediction.
Draft him as quarterback depth where starters are scarce. In one-QB formats, the relevant comparison is the available streaming pool, not simply whether he starts for an NFL team.
What Moves His Value
The upside: Consistent passing volume and scoring drives turn an inexpensive starting job into useful second-quarterback production.
The downside: A starting designation does not prevent low-touchdown weeks, and the current projection does not establish a high-end fantasy ceiling.
Draft Question
What should change your decision on Tyler Shough?
Compare his passing opportunities and red-zone results across several games. Promote him for repeatable production rather than a single favorable matchup.
Compare his current price and positional alternatives on the preseason rankings board.
Tyler Shough is Nova's 151st-ranked player overall (QB, NO), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 237 points this season, about 16.71 per game.
Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 137, Nova 151).
His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
-28% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds, a buy-low window.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 151 (QB20) | T7 | -61.5 | n/a | n/a | 72.2-357.5 |
| Half PPR | 159 (QB20) | T7 | -61.4 | n/a | n/a | 72.2-357.5 |
| Standard | 172 (QB20) | T8 | -61.3 | n/a | n/a | 72.2-357.5 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 57 (QB20) | T7 | 16.7 | n/a | n/a | 72.2-357.5 |
Nova season stat lines14.2 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 245.7 |
| Rushing TDs | 3.9 |
| Passing Yards | 3149.3 |
| Passing TDs | 13.4 |
2025 usage profile11 games
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
Tracked market season lines vs Novaseason betting market vs Nova’s projection
| Stat | DK line | Market lean | Nova | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing TDs | 20.5 | 52% over | 13.4 | -34.6% |
| Passing Yards | 3449.5 | 52% over | 3149.3 | -8.7% |
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W3 | NO vs SEA | 0-0-0 pass | 0.0 |
| W8 | NO vs TB | 128-0-1 pass, 3-12-0 rush | 4.3 |
| W9 | NO vs LA | 176-1-1 pass, 1-2-0 rush | 9.2 |
| W10 | NO vs CAR | 282-2-0 pass, 4--3-0 rush | 19.0 |
| W12 | NO vs ATL | 243-0-1 pass, 7-22-0 rush | 7.9 |
| W13 | NO vs MIA | 239-2-1 pass, 6-18-0 rush | 17.4 |
| W14 | NO vs TB | 144-0-1 pass, 7-55-2 rush | 21.3 |
| W15 | NO vs CAR | 272-1-0 pass, 8-32-0 rush | 18.1 |
| W16 | NO vs NYJ | 308-1-0 pass, 2-8-0 rush | 17.1 |
| W17 | NO vs TEN | 333-2-0 pass, 4-6-0 rush | 21.9 |
| W18 | NO vs ATL | 259-1-1 pass, 3-34-1 rush | 21.8 |
These answers are generated from the same NovaPredict player page data: Nova Rank, VORP, ADP, probability bands, team context, usage, schedule, and tracked market coverage where available.
What is the AI fantasy football prediction for Tyler Shough in 2026?
Nova ranks him No. 151 overall in Tier 7 with a 237-point season budget (16.71 PPR points per game) for the New Orleans Saints. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run. His bye is Week 8.
Is Tyler Shough undervalued or overvalued by AI rankings?
Current PPR ADP is 137.1, around pick 12.05. Nova and the draft room are close enough that roster fit and tier timing matter more than a big rank gap.
What does NovaPredict project for Tyler Shough in PPR leagues?
Nova's PPR view for Tyler Shough is 237 season points at 16.71 points per game. His PPR VORP is -61.5, which is the value Nova sees above replacement at QB.
How risky is Tyler Shough based on AI probability bands and DNA grade?
He does not have a full DNA grade yet, usually because the NFL sample is too small or rookie-driven. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run.
Should I draft Tyler Shough at current ADP?
At ADP 137.1, Tyler Shough is priced as a QB on the New Orleans Saints. Nova and the draft room are close enough that roster fit and tier timing matter more than a big rank gap. Schedule context: early SOS is 17.3 and playoff SOS is 21.7 on Nova's 1-32 scale.
What team context affects Tyler Shough's 2026 fantasy outlook?
Tyler Shough is listed with the New Orleans Saints as a QB. The 2025 usage profile includes 11 games and a 84% snap share, plus a 0% target share and a 16% carry share. Team context matters because nearby New Orleans Saints fantasy pieces on this board include Alvin Kamara, Chris Olave, Devaughn Vele.
What market or injury context should I know for Tyler Shough?
Tracked market lines are loaded for 2 season stats, so Nova can compare its stat projection against the market. Profile note: Nova has Tyler Shough, 151st overall, QB, NO, Tier 7, -61.5 VORP, 237.3 projected PPR points, 16.7 PPR points per game.