Tyler Shough
QBNO· bye 8· Nova #185 · T7ROOKIE/NA
-51.6
VORP
144.0
ADP
14.68
PPR / game
Nova overview
Tyler Shough is Nova's 185th-ranked player overall (QB, NO), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 209 points this season, about 14.68 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 144, ahead of Nova's 185.
Nova gives him about a 6% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 62 points (floor) to 303 (ceiling). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Usage & opportunity2025 · 11 games
Snap share84%
Target share0%
Carry share16%
Air-yards share0%
WOPR (opportunity)0
Red-zone opps (2 TD)14
17.3
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
21.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
8
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →-28%BehindBuy low
42.4 of 182 banked · 4wrevised 153.6
-28% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds, a buy-low window.
Season outcome range
floor 62 ptmed 209 ptceil 303 pt
6%
P(tier-1)
17%
P(tier-2+)
QB16-QB45
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)6%
Opportunity · snaps84%
Rank edge vs market-29
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 185 | T7 | -51.6 | 6% | QB16-QB45 | 62-302.8 |
| Half PPR | 202 | T8 | -52.4 | 6% | QB16-QB45 | 62-302.8 |
| Standard | 223 | T9 | -50.9 | 6% | QB16-QB45 | 62-302.8 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 140 | T7 | -20.7 | 6% | QB16-QB45 | 62-302.8 |
Nova season stat lines12.3 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 212.3 |
| Rushing TDs | 3.3 |
| Passing Yards | 2721.9 |
| Passing TDs | 12.1 |
2025 usage profile11 games
84%
snap share
4.1
carries / game
16%
team carry share
4.1
yards / carry
14
red-zone opportunities (2 TDs)
+0.3
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
-2.1
TD pace vs position (13 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
2
broken tackles forced
15
rush yards before contact / g
3.6
rush yards after contact / g
74
times pressured
18.3%
pressure rate faced
73
times blitzed
31
times sacked
28
times hurried
15
times hit
22.7%
bad throw rate
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W3 | NO vs SEA | 0-0-0 pass | 0.0 |
| W8 | NO vs TB | 128-0-1 pass, 3-12-0 rush | 4.3 |
| W9 | NO vs LA | 176-1-1 pass, 1-2-0 rush | 9.2 |
| W10 | NO vs CAR | 282-2-0 pass, 4--3-0 rush | 19.0 |
| W12 | NO vs ATL | 243-0-1 pass, 7-22-0 rush | 7.9 |
| W13 | NO vs MIA | 239-2-1 pass, 6-18-0 rush | 17.4 |
| W14 | NO vs TB | 144-0-1 pass, 7-55-2 rush | 21.3 |
| W15 | NO vs CAR | 272-1-0 pass, 8-32-0 rush | 18.1 |
| W16 | NO vs NYJ | 308-1-0 pass, 2-8-0 rush | 17.1 |
| W17 | NO vs TEN | 333-2-0 pass, 4-6-0 rush | 21.9 |
| W18 | NO vs ATL | 259-1-1 pass, 3-34-1 rush | 21.8 |