Win your league. We already did the homework.
Your league doesn’t reward the hottest take. It rewards the right pick. NovaPredict turns the sharpest betting markets into a draft board, a start/sit call, and a waiver plan for 970 players, then grades every call in public. You get the edge. Your leaguemates get beat.
Not “14.2 points.” A probability for every outcome, boom to bust. Others give you a guess; we give you the whole curve the market prices.
The players, up close
A real scouting report on every player who matters: a range of outcomes, a DNA grade, and where Nova splits from the market, not just a number.
Nova has Puka Nacua 5th overall, Tier 2, 147.2 VORP, while the room is taking him at pick 2.6.
Nova has Jahmyr Gibbs 1st overall, Tier 1, 170.9 VORP, and the room is drafting him at 2.0, behind Bijan Robinson.
Nova has Ja'Marr Chase 4th overall, WR4, Tier 2, 150.8 VORP, and the market is drafting him 4th overall (ADP 4.0).
Nova has Bijan Robinson 2nd overall, Tier 1, 165.8 VORP, RB2, and the room is taking him at ADP 1.4.
Nova has Christian McCaffrey 8th overall, RB8, Tier 3, 118 VORP, while the room keeps taking him at pick 5.
Nova has Amon-Ra St.
Four decisions win leagues. We make all four.
Not a wall of numbers. The actual calls, made for you, with the reasoning shown so you can trust them or overrule them.
Draft the right guy
A live War Room that values every pick against replacement, prices in scarcity, and tells you who to take before the run starts. It recalculates on every pick as your roster fills.
Start the right guys
Start/sit from a full range of outcomes, not a single number. A win probability for each call, and the honest reason it might be wrong, so you set a lineup you can defend.
Win the waiver wire
Nova Nuggets shows where Nova splits from the market and, in season, who your league is adding, with Nova's read on each. Grab the breakout, skip the name that fizzles.
Never get fleeced
The Trade Analyzer prices both sides off the same live engine that builds the board, so you know a robbery from a rip-off before you accept. No gut feel, no trade-chart guesswork.
NovaPredict vs everything else
Most advice comes from expert consensus, a static projection spreadsheet, or a chatbot. Here is the honest comparison across the dimensions that decide leagues.
| Expert rankings | Projection sites | AI chatbots | NovaPredict | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Source of truth | Analyst opinion, averaged | A site's internal model | Whatever it read, undated | Live sharp betting markets |
| Update speed | When analysts re-rank | Weekly or preseason | Frozen at training | Continuous, rebuilds as markets move |
| Projection form | A rank number | One point total | A confident guess | Full range: floor, median, ceiling, boom + bust odds |
| Ranking basis | Gut-weighted consensus | Raw projected points | Nothing consistent | Value over replacement, scarcity priced in |
| Draft-day help | Printable list | Printable list | Chat while you panic | Live War Room, Sleeper sync, roster + opponent aware |
| Season tracking | None | None | None | Point-pool pace: buy-low / sell-high flags, feeds start/sit |
| Accountability | None, rankings vanish | Self-graded backtests | None, it apologizes | Locked pre-kickoff, graded in public |
| Beat it and prove it? | No | No | No | Yes, Challenge the Model scores you all season |
“Show me every projection you locked before kickoff, and how each one turned out.”
Expert rankings can’t answer it. Projection sites show you a backtest they graded themselves. We built the whole product around it: every call locked before kickoff, graded in public, misses included. See the record →
Built to win your draft, and your season
One engine, everywhere you make a decision. These are the ones people open first.
Draft War Room
Open it beside your live Sleeper draft. Value-first picks that read scarcity, your roster, tier cliffs, and who survives to your next pick, recalculated every time a name comes off the board.
Preseason Rankings
Every player priced across PPR, half, standard, and superflex. ADP, Nova Rank, tiers, floor-median-ceiling bands, DNA, and Divergence in a single view.
Divergence Watch
Where the edge lives. The players Nova most disagrees with the market on, both directions, ranked, so your sleepers, fades, and trade targets come from measured gaps.
Trade Analyzer + Finder
Grade any trade on live value over replacement, not a chart that went stale in August. Trade Finder suggests deals worth making from your surplus to your needs.
Season Budget Pace
The season is a point pool. Each player's preseason budget is drawn down by real results; we flag who's ahead or behind pace and turn it into buy-low, sell-high, and start/sit calls. No other app tracks it.
Challenge the Model
Think you can beat it? Log Agree, Override, or Skip on Nova's calls and get scored against the engine all season. If you win, you will have the receipts.
Sync your draft from the platform you already play on
Open NovaPredict beside your live draft and it marks every pick for you, recomputing value and scarcity in real time. Sleeper syncs today; the rest roll out through preseason.
Graded in public. Misses included.
Talk is cheap and backtests are cheaper. Every projection is locked before kickoff and scored against what actually happened, with proper scoring rules, out in the open. We make no accuracy claims until the live record starts in Week 1 of 2026, because honest historical prop data does not exist.
The board is live now.
Sync a Sleeper mock and watch a value-based board recalculate while you draft against it. One mock is usually enough to retire the printable cheat sheet. $29 Founders rate while the 2026 record fills in, locked for life.
Every tool
The full toolkit, grouped the way the nav is. Everything here is live now on real, free data. Weekly and accountability surfaces run on fixtures until Week 1, when live props flip them on.
Draft and rankings
Draft War Room
Open it beside your live draft. Value-first pick recommendations that account for scarcity, your roster and flex needs, tiers, opponent needs, and who is likely still there next pick. Syncs to Sleeper.
Preseason Rankings
The full board: every projected player, ADP, Nova budgets, DNA, VORP, outcome bands, 4 formats.
Mock Draft
Full snake draft against AI opponents across the whole pool. Nova recommends each pick.
Rookie Board
The 2026 class ranked by draft-capital prior, with the pick curve.
Handcuff Finder
Lead backs paired to their backups, with high-value handcuffs flagged.
Strength of Schedule
Team-by-position SOS heatmap, early and playoff-week windows.
Bye Planner
Every team's bye plus a roster bye-week conflict grid.
Cheat Sheet
Printable tiered position board with the tier cliffs drawn in.
Values and Reaches
Where Nova disagrees with ADP: the biggest sleepers and the biggest reaches.
Scarcity Curve
VORP dropoff by position so you can see exactly where each cliffs.
Stack Finder
Best QB plus pass-catcher stacks to draft for correlated ceilings.
In-season
Weekly
Projections, start/sit, flex ranker, and the slate dashboard. On fixtures until Week 1.
Season Budget Pace
Each player's season is a point pool. Track the drawdown, flag who's ahead or behind pace, and turn it into buy-low / sell-high calls.
Lineup Optimizer
Build a roster, get the optimal starting lineup and full-roster start/sit.
Waiver Wire
Rest-of-season pickups and streamers, scored by value and upside.
Injury Watch
The daily Sleeper injury poll, surfaced for your board.
Trending
Most-added and most-dropped players across Sleeper, with Nova context.
Scenarios
How each game environment (shootout, weather, pace) shifts every position.
Scores
The NFL schedule and live game state, plus game weather when it is in range.
Tools
Connect League
Pull your real Sleeper roster and scoring, resolved to Nova's numbers.
Lineup Optimizer
The optimal lineup and start/sit for any roster you build.
Compare
Players side by side: budgets, bands, DNA, and where Nova splits from ADP.
Trade Analyzer
Grade a trade you are considering by value over replacement.
Trade Finder
Suggests value-positive trades from your surplus to your needs.
What-If
Stack scenarios on a player and watch the whole distribution move.
My League
Your exact scoring and roster rules genuinely reorder the board.
Teams
All 32 teams with depth charts, projections, byes, and schedule strength.
Roster Report Card
Build a roster and get a graded analysis: strength, depth, byes, floor/ceiling.
Export
Download the board as CSV or JSON with the format, positions, and columns you pick.
Research
Divergence Watch
Nova versus the market, ranked by disagreement, with the reasoning.
Signal Library
72 historical situational signals across 6 seasons, each with sample size.
Armchair QB
Plot any metric against any other. Scatter, correlation, custom tables, leaders.
Floor / Ceiling
Safest floors, highest ceilings, and the biggest boom/bust spreads.
Ask Nova
Ask the board anything in plain English. Turns on with an API key.
Opportunity
2025 usage leaderboards: target share, WOPR, snap share, red-zone touches.
Consistency
2025 week-to-week scoring: who was steady versus boom/bust, with sparklines.