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Season Budget · preview

The season is a point pool.

Every player starts with a preseason Nova Budget, their projected full-season points. Each week draws that pool down by what they actually score. We track it against the pace they were supposed to hold (budget ÷ active weeks) and flag who’s pulling ahead, falling behind, or holding serve. That pace signal feeds trades, start/sit, and buy-low / sell-high calls.

Preview on fixtures. These are simulated weekly results for the top 287 players (4 weeks in) so you can see the board before Week 1. Real weekly actuals replace them once the season starts, nothing here is a claim about a real game. Pace deviation is measured against each player’s original expected pace, and “behind pace” is read as mean-reversion, never as “due for a boom.”

97 ahead of pace88 behind pace102 on pace
PlayerBudget burndown (4 wk)PaceRevisedSignal
Daniel Jones
QB · IND
96.2 of 186.3 pts banked
+56%
Ahead
244.3
+31% vs budget
Sell high
Darius Slayton
WR · NYG
41.7 of 102.9 pts banked
+55%
Ahead
131.7
+28% vs budget
-
Xavier Worthy
WR · KC
57.7 of 146.3 pts banked
+48%
Ahead
182.1
+25% vs budget
-
Puka Nacua
WR · LA
121.8 of 308.1 pts banked
+47%
Ahead
382.7
+24% vs budget
Sell high
Michael Gallup
WR · DAL
31 of 83.4 pts banked
+47%
Ahead
103
+24% vs budget
-
Diontae Johnson
WR · HOU
49.5 of 109.4 pts banked
+46%
Ahead
136.5
+25% vs budget
-
Kenneth Gainwell
RB · PIT
46.9 of 132.3 pts banked
+45%
Ahead
162
+22% vs budget
Sell high
Mike Gesicki
TE · CIN
33.7 of 84.4 pts banked
+43%
Ahead
103.2
+22% vs budget
Sell high
T.J. Hockenson
TE · MIN
49.2 of 121.9 pts banked
+42%
Ahead
148.8
+22% vs budget
Sell high
Tyler Boyd
WR · TEN
34.1 of 94.7 pts banked
+41%
Ahead
114.4
+21% vs budget
Sell high
Kayshon Boutte
WR · NE
47.3 of 110.6 pts banked
+40%
Ahead
134.4
+22% vs budget
Sell high
Juwan Johnson
TE · NO
47.2 of 132.6 pts banked
+39%
Ahead
158.6
+20% vs budget
-
Kareem Hunt
RB · KC
46 of 128.1 pts banked
+38%
Ahead
152.9
+19% vs budget
Sell high
Noah Fant
TE · CIN
31.8 of 82.4 pts banked
+37%
Ahead
98.3
+19% vs budget
Sell high
Gardner Minshew
QB · KC
47.6 of 90.5 pts banked
+37%
Ahead
110.1
+22% vs budget
-
Jalen Nailor
WR · LV
32.4 of 84.2 pts banked
+37%
Ahead
100.3
+19% vs budget
Sell high
C.J. Stroud
QB · HOU
84.8 of 236.7 pts banked
+36%
Ahead
280.2
+18% vs budget
Sell high
Jake Ferguson
TE · DAL
52 of 153.3 pts banked
+35%
Ahead
180.1
+18% vs budget
Sell high
Romeo Doubs
WR · NE
53.8 of 154 pts banked
+35%
Ahead
180.9
+18% vs budget
-
Jameis Winston
QB · NYG
56.6 of 92.7 pts banked
+34%
Ahead
112.9
+22% vs budget
-
Shedeur Sanders
QB · CLE
63.8 of 121.4 pts banked
+34%
Ahead
146
+20% vs budget
-
Darnell Mooney
WR · ATL
37.8 of 107.3 pts banked
+34%
Ahead
125.8
+17% vs budget
-
Bo Nix
QB · DEN
99.1 of 305.7 pts banked
+34%
Ahead
356.7
+17% vs budget
Sell high
Tyreek Hill
WR · MIA
74.8 of 166.7 pts banked
+34%
Ahead
197.8
+19% vs budget
Sell high
James Conner
RB · ARI
68.8 of 140.8 pts banked
+33%
Ahead
167.8
+19% vs budget
-
Mark Andrews
TE · BAL
44.9 of 131.4 pts banked
+33%
Ahead
153.4
+17% vs budget
-
· 235 players near pace, hidden, each shows on their profile ·
Chimere Dike
WR · TEN
21.3 of 127.5 pts banked
-31%
Behind
107.9
-15% vs budget
-
Luther Burden III
WR · CHI
24.4 of 135.7 pts banked
-32%
Behind
113.8
-16% vs budget
Buy low
Saquon Barkley
RB · PHI
40.6 of 233.9 pts banked
-32%
Behind
195.8
-16% vs budget
-
Brandin Cooks
WR · BUF
15.8 of 78.8 pts banked
-32%
Behind
65.3
-17% vs budget
-
Christian Kirk
WR · HOU
18.9 of 83.3 pts banked
-33%
Behind
68.2
-18% vs budget
-
Justice Hill
RB · BAL
17.7 of 89.3 pts banked
-33%
Behind
73.6
-18% vs budget
Fluke risk
Ty Simpson
QB · LA
19.2 of 123 pts banked
-36%
Behind
101.3
-18% vs budget
-
Carson Wentz
QB · MIN
31.1 of 84.9 pts banked
-36%
Behind
63.1
-26% vs budget
Buy low
Spencer Rattler
QB · NO
29.2 of 118.7 pts banked
-36%
Behind
93.5
-21% vs budget
Buy low
George Kittle
TE · SF
32.2 of 175.8 pts banked
-36%
Behind
142.2
-19% vs budget
Buy low
Kimani Vidal
RB · LAC
19 of 95.4 pts banked
-37%
Behind
76.3
-20% vs budget
Buy low
Jeff Driskel
QB · CLE
34.9 of 82.9 pts banked
-37%
Behind
59.1
-29% vs budget
Buy low
Isiah Pacheco
RB · DET
20.7 of 103.8 pts banked
-37%
Behind
82.8
-20% vs budget
Fluke risk
Sam Howell
QB · SEA
36.1 of 142.4 pts banked
-38%
Behind
109.7
-23% vs budget
Buy low
Latavius Murray
RB · BUF
13.3 of 82.3 pts banked
-38%
Behind
66.2
-20% vs budget
Buy low
De'Zhaun Stribling
WR · SF
16.9 of 115.1 pts banked
-39%
Behind
92.6
-19% vs budget
Buy low
Ray Davis
RB · BUF
11 of 78.9 pts banked
-42%
Behind
62.3
-21% vs budget
Buy low
DJ Moore
WR · BUF
24.1 of 187.8 pts banked
-47%
Behind
144.1
-23% vs budget
Fluke risk
Woody Marks
RB · HOU
18.3 of 138.8 pts banked
-48%
Behind
105.4
-24% vs budget
Buy low
Eli Stowers
TE · PHI
9.4 of 82.3 pts banked
-53%
Behind
60.8
-26% vs budget
Fluke risk
Deebo Samuel Sr.
WR · WAS
20.1 of 167.2 pts banked
-53%
Behind
122.1
-27% vs budget
Buy lowFluke risk
Joe Flacco
QB · CIN
21.2 of 133 pts banked
-55%
Behind
91.8
-31% vs budget
Buy low
Raheem Mostert
RB · LV
11.2 of 86.2 pts banked
-56%
Behind
60.9
-29% vs budget
Fluke risk
Rashod Bateman
WR · BAL
10 of 96.4 pts banked
-62%
Behind
65.7
-32% vs budget
Buy lowFluke risk
Kendrick Bourne
WR · SF
8.2 of 83.5 pts banked
-68%
Behind
53.3
-36% vs budget
Buy lowFluke risk
Sam Darnold
QB · SEA
11 of 214.5 pts banked
-80%
Behind
128
-40% vs budget
Buy lowFluke risk