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Divergence Watch

The tracked season market against Nova’s season stat projections, ranked by the Divergence Score: the gap scaled by how uncertain that stat’s projections really are and how reliable the player is, on a plus/minus scale. Positive means Nova is higher than the market; negative means Nova is lower.

Coverage128 players296 stat-level market comparisons in the current capture.
Confidence split69 validated227 directional rows stay labeled so small or noisy markets are not overstated.
Signal shape93 above · 70 belowAbove means Nova projects more than market line; below means Nova projects less.
ℹCoverage grows as the season betting-market board rotates (128 players so far, generated from the latest captured board). Rows marked validated have the cleaner comparison history. Rows marked directional are still useful for drafting context, but they should be treated as watch-list signals rather than standalone bets.
Market side: tracked season lines · Nova side: Nova’s own projections · generated 2026-08-26
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Open the full divergence table.

Sort player-market disagreements by stat, confidence, direction, and score so you can see where NovaPredict is meaningfully above or below the market.

  • Compare player stat lines against Nova projections.
  • Separate validated rows from directional watch-list signals.
  • Use disagreement as draft context, not a standalone bet.
Divergence Watch - NovaPredict