Malik Willis
Nova has Malik Willis, 220th overall, QB, MIA, Tier 7, -124.1 VORP, 174.8 projected PPR points, 14.7 PPR points per game. Current PPR ADP is 161.8, so Nova is below the room on price. The modeled PPR range runs from 55 to 262 points.
Editorial preseason rankings are shown separately from directional model projections, VORP, and tiers.
The 2026 Role
Miami lists Willis first at quarterback on its current chart, with De'Von Achane heading the backfield. The team's published receiver group includes Malik Washington, Jalen Tolbert and Caleb Douglas. Team source, checked September 7.
Our stored 2025 usage sample covers 4 games: 5.5 rushing attempts per game; 30.8 rushing yards per game. These describe last season, not a promise of the same 2026 workload.
Our Draft Read
Our editorial board places Malik Willis at QB26 in PPR. The separate directional season projection is 174.8 PPR points. The ranking is draft order, not a claim that this projection has been newly validated. Captured PPR ADP 161.8 overall; ADP describes draft cost, not a positional finish prediction.
The value is access to starting-quarterback snaps where your league requires them. In one-QB formats, demand evidence of regular passing production before treating him as more than a matchup option.
What Moves His Value
The upside: The expanded opportunity supports both passing and rushing points, giving him more scoring paths than a limited backup assignment.
The downside: Starting volume can still produce weak fantasy returns if passing efficiency and scoring opportunities are limited.
Draft Question
What should change your decision on Malik Willis?
Judge sustained passing attempts, designed runs and red-zone usage. Do not extrapolate a small number of strong plays into a full season.
Compare his current price and positional alternatives on the preseason rankings board.
Malik Willis is Nova's 220th-ranked player overall (QB, MIA), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 175 points this season, about 14.69 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 162, ahead of Nova's 220.
His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.
-14% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 220 (QB26) | T7 | -124.1 | n/a | n/a | 55-261.5 |
| Half PPR | 268 (QB26) | T7 | -124 | n/a | n/a | 55-261.5 |
| Standard | 367 (QB26) | T9 | -123.9 | n/a | n/a | 55-261.5 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 106 (QB26) | T8 | -45.9 | n/a | n/a | 55-261.5 |
Nova season stat lines11.9 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 302.1 |
| Rushing TDs | 3.6 |
| Passing Yards | 1241.2 |
| Passing TDs | 7.7 |
2025 usage profile4 games
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
Tracked market season lines vs Novaseason betting market vs Nova’s projection
| Stat | DK line | Market lean | Nova | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing TDs | 3.5 | 57% over | 3.6 | n/a |
| Rushing Yards | 549.5 | 50% over | 302.1 | -45% |
| Passing TDs | 14.5 | 49% over | 7.7 | -46.9% |
| Passing Yards | 2949.5 | 50% over | 1241.2 | -57.9% |
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W11 | GB vs NYG | 6-1-0 pass, 1-16-0 rush | 5.8 |
| W12 | GB vs MIN | 7-0-0 pass, 2-3-0 rush | 0.6 |
| W16 | GB vs CHI | 121-1-0 pass, 10-44-0 rush | 13.2 |
| W17 | GB vs BAL | 288-1-0 pass, 9-60-2 rush | 31.5 |
These answers are generated from the same NovaPredict player page data: Nova Rank, VORP, ADP, probability bands, team context, usage, schedule, and tracked market coverage where available.
What is the AI fantasy football prediction for Malik Willis in 2026?
Nova ranks him No. 220 overall in Tier 7 with a 175-point season budget (14.69 PPR points per game) for the Miami Dolphins. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run. His bye is Week 6.
Is Malik Willis undervalued or overvalued by AI rankings?
Current PPR ADP is 161.8, around pick 14.06. Nova is lower than the draft room by about 13 picks.
What does NovaPredict project for Malik Willis in PPR leagues?
Nova's PPR view for Malik Willis is 175 season points at 14.69 points per game. His PPR VORP is -124.1, which is the value Nova sees above replacement at QB.
How risky is Malik Willis based on AI probability bands and DNA grade?
He does not have a full DNA grade yet, usually because the NFL sample is too small or rookie-driven. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run.
Should I draft Malik Willis at current ADP?
At ADP 161.8, Malik Willis is priced as a QB on the Miami Dolphins. Nova is lower than the draft room by about 13 picks. Schedule context: early SOS is 15.2 and playoff SOS is 6 on Nova's 1-32 scale.
What team context affects Malik Willis's 2026 fantasy outlook?
Malik Willis is listed with the Miami Dolphins as a QB. The 2025 usage profile includes 4 games and a 42% snap share, plus a 0% target share and a 21% carry share. Team context matters because nearby Miami Dolphins fantasy pieces on this board include De'Von Achane, Jaylen Wright, Ollie Gordon II.
What market or injury context should I know for Malik Willis?
Tracked market lines are loaded for 4 season stats, so Nova can compare its stat projection against the market. Profile note: Nova has Malik Willis, 220th overall, QB, MIA, Tier 7, -124.1 VORP, 174.8 projected PPR points, 14.7 PPR points per game.