Spencer Rattler
QBNO· bye 8· Nova #286 · T7DNA S+
-87.3
VORP
11.09
PPR / game
Nova overview
Spencer Rattler is Nova's 286th-ranked player overall (QB, NO), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 147 points this season, about 11.09 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 44 points (floor) to 208 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S+ (Elite consistency). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
17.3
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
21.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
8
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →-36%BehindBuy low
29.2 of 118.7 banked · 4wrevised 93.5
-36% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds, a buy-low window.
Per-game points distribution
41%
Bust <10 pts
54%
Solid 10–20 pts
5%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 16 games.
Season outcome range
floor 44 ptmed 147 ptceil 208 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
4%
P(tier-2+)
QB29-QB62
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 286 | T7 | -87.3 | 1% | QB29-QB62 | 43.7-208.1 |
| Half PPR | 305 | T8 | -80.2 | 1% | QB29-QB62 | 43.6-207.6 |
| Standard | 344 | T9 | -72.6 | 1% | QB29-QB62 | 43.4-207.1 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 207 | T7 | -56.3 | 1% | QB29-QB62 | 43.7-208.1 |