Desmond Ridder
QBLV· bye 13· Nova #282 · T7DNA V
-85.1
VORP
10.68
PPR / game
Nova overview
Desmond Ridder is Nova's 282nd-ranked player overall (QB, LV), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 145 points this season, about 10.68 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 44 points (floor) to 210 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
10.2 tough
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
18.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
13
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+17%Ahead
48.9 of 113.8 banked · 4wrevised 125
+17% ahead of pace, some regression likely.
Per-game points distribution
42%
Bust <10 pts
46%
Solid 10–20 pts
12%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 20 games.
Season outcome range
floor 44 ptmed 145 ptceil 210 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
4%
P(tier-2+)
QB29-QB62
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 282 | T7 | -85.1 | 1% | QB29-QB62 | 43.5-209.6 |
| Half PPR | 291 | T8 | -77.8 | 1% | QB29-QB62 | 43.5-209.3 |
| Standard | 327 | T9 | -70 | 1% | QB29-QB62 | 43.4-209 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 204 | T7 | -54.1 | 1% | QB29-QB62 | 43.5-209.6 |