Ty Johnson
RBBUF· bye 7· Nova #285 · T7DNA B
-87.2
VORP
5
PPR / game
Nova overview
Ty Johnson is Nova's 285th-ranked player overall (RB, BUF), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 74 points this season, about 5 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 21 points (floor) to 156 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
10.2 tough
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
13.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
7
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →74 pt pool
Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.
Per-game points distribution
82%
Bust <10 pts
18%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 43 games.
Season outcome range
floor 21 ptmed 74 ptceil 156 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
6%
P(tier-2+)
RB46-RB81
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Rank edge vs market-25
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 285 | T7 | -87.2 | 1% | RB46-RB81 | 21.4-156.4 |
| Half PPR | 307 | T8 | -80.5 | 1% | RB46-RB82 | 19-139 |
| Standard | 343 | T9 | -72.5 | 1% | RB47-RB82 | 16.6-121.6 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 303 | T7 | -88.4 | 1% | RB46-RB81 | 21.4-156.4 |