Ty Johnson
Nova has Ty Johnson, 297th overall, RB, BUF, Tier 7, -96.4 VORP, 66.5 projected PPR points, 4.5 PPR points per game. Current PPR ADP is 164.3, so Nova is below the room on price. The modeled PPR range runs from 17 to 129 points.
Editorial preseason rankings are shown separately from directional model projections, VORP, and tiers.
The 2026 Role
Buffalo's initial roster includes Johnson and Ray Davis in its running-back group. Multiple reserve options make the type of work each receives more important than simply identifying an available roster spot. Team source, checked September 7.
Our stored 2025 usage sample covers 17 games: 2.9 carries per game; 1.9 targets per game. These describe last season, not a promise of the same 2026 workload.
Our Draft Read
Our editorial board places Ty Johnson at RB71 in PPR. The separate directional season projection is 66.5 PPR points. The ranking is draft order, not a claim that this projection has been newly validated. Captured PPR ADP 164.3 overall; ADP describes draft cost, not a positional finish prediction.
In reception scoring, a real passing-game assignment can be useful at a low cost. Do not assume that pass protection and offensive snaps necessarily become catches.
What Moves His Value
The upside: A defined receiving contribution produces useful depth without requiring him to become the main runner.
The downside: Limited carries and targets keep him below the flex threshold despite a continuing place in the rotation.
Draft Question
What should change your decision on Ty Johnson?
Focus on routes and targets, then check whether scoring opportunities accompany them. That is more useful than counting total snaps alone.
Compare his current price and positional alternatives on the preseason rankings board.
Ty Johnson is Nova's 297th-ranked player overall (RB, BUF), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 67 points this season, about 4.49 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 164, ahead of Nova's 297.
His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 43 games.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 297 (RB71) | T7 | -96.4 | n/a | n/a | 17.1-129 |
| Half PPR | 300 (RB70) | T7 | -81.8 | n/a | n/a | 15.2-114.6 |
| Standard | 318 (RB70) | T8 | -68 | n/a | n/a | 13.3-100.1 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 300 (RB71) | T8 | -96.4 | n/a | n/a | 17.1-129 |
Nova season stat lines14.8 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 202 |
| Receptions | 16.5 |
| Receiving TDs | 1.8 |
| Rushing Yards | 166.4 |
| Rushing TDs | 1.6 |
2025 usage profile17 games
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | BUF vs BAL | 2-24-0 rush, 0-0 rec | 2.4 |
| W2 | BUF vs NYJ | 2-6-0 rush, 0-0 rec | 0.6 |
| W3 | BUF vs MIA | 3-13-0 rush, 1-8 rec | 3.1 |
| W4 | BUF vs NO | 1-0-0 rush | 0.0 |
| W5 | BUF vs NE | 2-10-0 rush | 1.0 |
| W6 | BUF vs ATL | 1-5-0 rush, 1-11 rec | 2.6 |
| W8 | BUF vs CAR | 4-6-0 rush | 0.6 |
| W9 | BUF vs KC | 2-8-1 rush, 2-12 rec | 10.0 |
| W10 | BUF vs MIA | 1-2-0 rush, 2-24 rec | 4.6 |
| W11 | BUF vs TB | 1-9-0 rush, 2-61 rec | 15.0 |
| W12 | BUF vs HOU | 2-7-0 rush, 3-45 rec | 8.2 |
| W13 | BUF vs PIT | 2-5-0 rush, 3-20 rec | 5.5 |
| W14 | BUF vs CIN | 2-25-0 rush, 2-14 rec | 5.9 |
| W15 | BUF vs NE | 4-13-0 rush, 3-15 rec | 5.8 |
| W16 | BUF vs CLE | 3-16-1 rush | 7.6 |
| W17 | BUF vs PHI | 5-15-0 rush, 3-33 rec | 7.8 |
| W18 | BUF vs NYJ | 13-36-1 rush, 2-20 rec | 19.6 |
These answers are generated from the same NovaPredict player page data: Nova Rank, VORP, ADP, probability bands, team context, usage, schedule, and tracked market coverage where available.
What is the AI fantasy football prediction for Ty Johnson in 2026?
Nova ranks him No. 297 overall in Tier 7 with a 67-point season budget (4.49 PPR points per game) for the Buffalo Bills. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run. His bye is Week 7.
Is Ty Johnson undervalued or overvalued by AI rankings?
Current PPR ADP is 164.3, around pick 14.08. Nova is lower than the draft room by about 74 picks.
What does NovaPredict project for Ty Johnson in PPR leagues?
Nova's PPR view for Ty Johnson is 67 season points at 4.49 points per game. His PPR VORP is -96.4, which is the value Nova sees above replacement at RB.
How risky is Ty Johnson based on AI probability bands and DNA grade?
His DNA grade is B, based on 43 logged games, so the AI view treats his week-to-week volatility as baseline. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run.
Should I draft Ty Johnson at current ADP?
At ADP 164.3, Ty Johnson is priced as a RB on the Buffalo Bills. Nova is lower than the draft room by about 74 picks. Schedule context: early SOS is 10 and playoff SOS is 13.7 on Nova's 1-32 scale.
What team context affects Ty Johnson's 2026 fantasy outlook?
Ty Johnson is listed with the Buffalo Bills as a RB. The 2025 usage profile includes 17 games and a 30% snap share, plus a 7% target share and a 9% carry share. Team context matters because nearby Buffalo Bills fantasy pieces on this board include Dalton Kincaid, Dawson Knox, DJ Moore.
What market or injury context should I know for Ty Johnson?
No tracked season futures are captured for him yet, so the page leans on Nova ranks, ADP, usage, and outcome bands. Profile note: Nova has Ty Johnson, 297th overall, RB, BUF, Tier 7, -96.4 VORP, 66.5 projected PPR points, 4.5 PPR points per game.