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Terrance Ferguson

Terrance Ferguson

TELA· bye 11· Nova #138 · T7ROOKIE/NA
-53.1
VORP
163.3
ADP
6.42
PPR / game
The verdict

Nova has Terrance Ferguson, 138th overall, TE, LA, Tier 7, -53.1 VORP, 89.3 projected PPR points, 6.4 PPR points per game. Current PPR ADP is 163.3, so Nova is ahead of the room on price. The modeled PPR range runs from 33 to 141 points.

By Chris Hanna · updated Sep 7, 2026

Editorial preseason rankings are shown separately from directional model projections, VORP, and tiers.

The 2026 Role

The Rams list Ferguson alongside Colby Parkinson on one tight-end row, while Davis Allen and Tyler Higbee share another. That arrangement should not be mistaken for a single uncontested receiving job. Team source, checked September 7.

Our stored 2025 usage sample covers 11 games: 2.3 targets per game; 1 receptions per game. These describe last season, not a promise of the same 2026 workload.

Our Draft Read

Our editorial board places Terrance Ferguson at TE30 in PPR. The separate directional season projection is 89.3 PPR points. The ranking is draft order, not a claim that this projection has been newly validated. Captured PPR ADP 163.3 overall; ADP describes draft cost, not a positional finish prediction.

He fits tight-end depth or a developmental roster slot. A league that rewards tight ends more heavily can justify waiting longer, but the scoring premium does not create targets.

What Moves His Value

The upside: He runs meaningful routes and becomes a regular option rather than merely another player used in multiple-tight-end formations.

The downside: The rotation supplies snaps without enough pass routes, producing a touchdown-dependent fantasy profile.

Draft Question

What should change your decision on Terrance Ferguson?

Check routes per team dropback and target share. Raw snap counts can overstate a tight end's opportunity when blocking makes up much of his assignment.

Compare his current price and positional alternatives on the preseason rankings board.

Sources (2)
Read next
Nova overview

Terrance Ferguson is Nova's 138th-ranked player overall (TE, LA), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 89 points this season, about 6.42 per game.

He is a value: the market drafts him around pick 163, well behind Nova's 138, so he tends to return more than his cost.

His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Usage & opportunity2025 · 11 games
Snap share37%
Target share7%
Carry share0%
Air-yards share12%
Catch rate44%
WOPR (opportunity)0.179
14
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
20.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
11
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →
89 pt pool

Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.

Season outcome range
floor 33 ptmed 89 ptceil 141 pt
n/a
P(tier-1)
Report card
Opportunity · snaps37%
Rank edge vs market+77

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR138 (TE30)T7-53.1n/an/a33.1-140.6
Half PPR134 (TE29)T7-38.7n/an/a28.3-120.2
Standard128 (TE27)T8-24.3n/an/a23.5-100.3
2QB / Superflex149 (TE30)T8-53.1n/an/a33.1-140.6

Nova season stat lines13.9 expected games

StatNova projection
Receiving Yards319.4
Receptions15.8
Receiving TDs4.1

2025 usage profile11 games

37%
snap share
2.3
targets / game
7%
team target share
12%
air yards share
0.179
WOPR (opportunity)
1
receptions / game
44%
catch rate
9.2
yards / target
42.4
air yards / game
+1
TD pace vs position (3 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

0
broken tackles forced
0
rush yards before contact / g
0
rush yards after contact / g
0
drops
0%
drop rate
81.1
passer rating when targeted

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W5LA vs SF1-21-0 (1 tgt)3.1
W6LA vs BAL0-0-0 (0 tgt)0.0
W7LA vs JAX1-31-1 (3 tgt)10.1
W9LA vs NO2-54-0 (3 tgt)7.4
W10LA vs SF1-32-0 (4 tgt)4.2
W12LA vs TB0-0-0 (1 tgt)0.0
W13LA vs CAR0-0-0 (2 tgt)0.0
W14LA vs ARI0-0-0 (1 tgt)0.0
W15LA vs DET1-6-0 (2 tgt)1.6
W16LA vs SEA3-33-1 (4 tgt)12.3
W17LA vs ATL2-54-1 (4 tgt)13.4
AI fantasy football questions for Terrance Ferguson

These answers are generated from the same NovaPredict player page data: Nova Rank, VORP, ADP, probability bands, team context, usage, schedule, and tracked market coverage where available.

What is the AI fantasy football prediction for Terrance Ferguson in 2026?

Nova ranks him No. 138 overall in Tier 7 with a 89-point season budget (6.42 PPR points per game) for the Los Angeles Rams. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run. His bye is Week 11.

Is Terrance Ferguson undervalued or overvalued by AI rankings?

Current PPR ADP is 163.3, around pick 14.07. Nova is higher than the draft room by about 77 picks.

What does NovaPredict project for Terrance Ferguson in PPR leagues?

Nova's PPR view for Terrance Ferguson is 89 season points at 6.42 points per game. His PPR VORP is -53.1, which is the value Nova sees above replacement at TE.

How risky is Terrance Ferguson based on AI probability bands and DNA grade?

He does not have a full DNA grade yet, usually because the NFL sample is too small or rookie-driven. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run.

Should I draft Terrance Ferguson at current ADP?

At ADP 163.3, Terrance Ferguson is priced as a TE on the Los Angeles Rams. Nova is higher than the draft room by about 77 picks. Schedule context: early SOS is 14 and playoff SOS is 20.7 on Nova's 1-32 scale.

What team context affects Terrance Ferguson's 2026 fantasy outlook?

Terrance Ferguson is listed with the Los Angeles Rams as a TE. The 2025 usage profile includes 11 games and a 37% snap share, plus a 7% target share and a 0% carry share. Team context matters because nearby Los Angeles Rams fantasy pieces on this board include Blake Corum, Colby Parkinson, Davante Adams.

What market or injury context should I know for Terrance Ferguson?

No tracked season futures are captured for him yet, so the page leans on Nova ranks, ADP, usage, and outcome bands. Profile note: Nova has Terrance Ferguson, 138th overall, TE, LA, Tier 7, -53.1 VORP, 89.3 projected PPR points, 6.4 PPR points per game.