Ray Davis
RBBUF· bye 7· Nova #270 · T7DNA X
-81.7
VORP
164.4
ADP
4.64
PPR / game
Nova overview
Ray Davis is Nova's 270th-ranked player overall (RB, BUF), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 71 points this season, about 4.64 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 2% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 20 points (floor) to 154 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades X (Extreme boom/bust). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
10.2 tough
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
13.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
7
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →-42%BehindBuy low
11 of 78.9 banked · 4wrevised 62.3
-42% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds, a buy-low window.
Per-game points distribution
75%
Bust <10 pts
25%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 34 games.
Season outcome range
floor 20 ptmed 71 ptceil 154 pt
2%
P(tier-1)
6%
P(tier-2+)
RB46-RB83
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)2%
Rank edge vs market-120
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 270 | T7 | -81.7 | 2% | RB46-RB83 | 20.2-154.1 |
| Half PPR | 276 | T8 | -73.6 | 2% | RB45-RB82 | 18.5-141.7 |
| Standard | 287 | T9 | -64.5 | 2% | RB44-RB81 | 16.9-129.2 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 288 | T7 | -82.9 | 2% | RB46-RB83 | 20.2-154.1 |