Ray Davis
Nova has Ray Davis, 264th overall, RB, BUF, Tier 7, -92.7 VORP, 70.2 projected PPR points, 4.6 PPR points per game. Current PPR ADP is 169, so Nova is below the room on price. The modeled PPR range runs from 18 to 134 points.
Editorial preseason rankings are shown separately from directional model projections, VORP, and tiers.
The 2026 Role
Buffalo included Davis and Ty Johnson in its initial 2026 roster breakdown. Their presence means the reserve backfield should be evaluated as a group rather than assuming one player receives every available touch. Team source, checked September 7.
Our stored 2025 usage sample covers 17 games: 3.4 carries per game; 0.8 targets per game. These describe last season, not a promise of the same 2026 workload.
Our Draft Read
Our editorial board places Ray Davis at RB65 in PPR. The separate directional season projection is 70.2 PPR points. The ranking is draft order, not a claim that this projection has been newly validated. Captured PPR ADP 169 overall; ADP describes draft cost, not a positional finish prediction.
Davis makes sense when you can hold a back for a change in opportunity. Keep the cost below players whose current workload already supports a weekly starting case.
What Moves His Value
The upside: He becomes the preferred option for meaningful carries when the backfield needs more from its reserves.
The downside: The workload remains small or splits in a way that leaves him without a stable weekly scoring base.
Draft Question
What should change your decision on Ray Davis?
Identify who receives early-down, passing-down and goal-line substitutions. The answer can be different for each assignment.
Compare his current price and positional alternatives on the preseason rankings board.
Ray Davis is Nova's 264th-ranked player overall (RB, BUF), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 70 points this season, about 4.56 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 169, ahead of Nova's 264.
His week-to-week profile grades X (Extreme boom/bust). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
-42% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds, a buy-low window.
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 34 games.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 264 (RB65) | T7 | -92.7 | n/a | n/a | 18.3-133.9 |
| Half PPR | 264 (RB65) | T7 | -77 | n/a | n/a | 16.7-122.1 |
| Standard | 270 (RB64) | T8 | -62.1 | n/a | n/a | 15-109.7 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 268 (RB65) | T8 | -92.7 | n/a | n/a | 18.3-133.9 |
Nova season stat lines15.4 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 106.3 |
| Receptions | 10.8 |
| Receiving TDs | 2 |
| Rushing Yards | 288.5 |
| Rushing TDs | 1 |
2025 usage profile17 games
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | BUF vs BAL | 1-2-0 rush, 1--1 rec | 1.1 |
| W2 | BUF vs NYJ | 9-24-0 rush | 2.4 |
| W3 | BUF vs MIA | 0-0-0 rush, 0-0 rec | 0.0 |
| W4 | BUF vs NO | 1-3-0 rush | 0.3 |
| W5 | BUF vs NE | 2-1-0 rush | 0.1 |
| W6 | BUF vs ATL | 0-0-0 rush, 2-19 rec | 9.9 |
| W8 | BUF vs CAR | 9-16-0 rush, 0-0 rec | 1.6 |
| W9 | BUF vs KC | 0-0-0 rush | 0.0 |
| W10 | BUF vs MIA | 2--2-0 rush, 1-0 rec | 0.8 |
| W11 | BUF vs TB | 0-0-0 rush | 0.0 |
| W12 | BUF vs HOU | 0-0-0 rush | 6.0 |
| W13 | BUF vs PIT | 9-62-0 rush | 6.2 |
| W14 | BUF vs CIN | 0-0-0 rush | 0.0 |
| W15 | BUF vs NE | 0-0-0 rush, 1-13 rec | 2.3 |
| W16 | BUF vs CLE | 3-14-0 rush, 2-20 rec | 5.4 |
| W17 | BUF vs PHI | 1-4-0 rush, 1-12 rec | 2.6 |
| W18 | BUF vs NYJ | 21-151-0 rush, 2-23 rec | 25.4 |
These answers are generated from the same NovaPredict player page data: Nova Rank, VORP, ADP, probability bands, team context, usage, schedule, and tracked market coverage where available.
What is the AI fantasy football prediction for Ray Davis in 2026?
Nova ranks him No. 264 overall in Tier 7 with a 70-point season budget (4.56 PPR points per game) for the Buffalo Bills. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run. His bye is Week 7.
Is Ray Davis undervalued or overvalued by AI rankings?
Current PPR ADP is 169.0, around pick 15.01. Nova is lower than the draft room by about 25 picks.
What does NovaPredict project for Ray Davis in PPR leagues?
Nova's PPR view for Ray Davis is 70 season points at 4.56 points per game. His PPR VORP is -92.7, which is the value Nova sees above replacement at RB.
How risky is Ray Davis based on AI probability bands and DNA grade?
His DNA grade is X, based on 34 logged games, so the AI view treats his week-to-week volatility as extreme boom/bust. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run.
Should I draft Ray Davis at current ADP?
At ADP 169.0, Ray Davis is priced as a RB on the Buffalo Bills. Nova is lower than the draft room by about 25 picks. Schedule context: early SOS is 10 and playoff SOS is 13.7 on Nova's 1-32 scale.
What team context affects Ray Davis's 2026 fantasy outlook?
Ray Davis is listed with the Buffalo Bills as a RB. The 2025 usage profile includes 17 games and a 14% snap share, plus a 3% target share and a 9% carry share. Team context matters because nearby Buffalo Bills fantasy pieces on this board include Dalton Kincaid, Dawson Knox, DJ Moore.
What market or injury context should I know for Ray Davis?
No tracked season futures are captured for him yet, so the page leans on Nova ranks, ADP, usage, and outcome bands. Profile note: Nova has Ray Davis, 264th overall, RB, BUF, Tier 7, -92.7 VORP, 70.2 projected PPR points, 4.6 PPR points per game.