Home
Draft
Draft War RoomDraft SyncPreseason RankingsMock DraftRookie BoardHandcuff FinderStrength of ScheduleBye PlannerCheat SheetValues & ReachesScarcity CurveStack Finder
In-Season
Weekly ProjectionsSeason Budget PaceWaiver WireNova NuggetsInjury WatchScenariosLineup OptimizerTrendingScores
Tools
CompareTrade AnalyzerWhat-IfMy LeagueConnect LeagueTrade FinderTeamsRoster Report CardExport
Research
Divergence WatchLine MoversSignal LibraryArmchair QBAsk NovaFloor / CeilingOpportunityConsistency
BlogNewsletterPricing
About
About NovaPredictMethodologyAccountabilityChallenge the ModelLeaderboard
Login

← back to rankings

Braelon Allen

Braelon Allen

RBNYJ· bye 13· Nova #248 · T7ROOKIE/NA
-94
VORP
157.7
ADP
5.51
PPR / game
The verdict

Nova has Braelon Allen, 248th overall, RB, NYJ, Tier 7, -94 VORP, 68.9 projected PPR points, 5.5 PPR points per game. Current PPR ADP is 157.7, so Nova is below the room on price. The modeled PPR range runs from 19 to 133 points.

By Chris Hanna · updated Sep 7, 2026

Editorial preseason rankings are shown separately from directional model projections, VORP, and tiers.

The 2026 Role

New York lists Allen second behind Breece Hall, with Isaiah Davis third. The ordering gives him a clearer immediate path than the deeper reserve in the same backfield. Team source, checked September 7.

Our stored 2025 usage sample covers 4 games: 4.5 carries per game; 0.8 targets per game. These describe last season, not a promise of the same 2026 workload.

Our Draft Read

Our editorial board places Braelon Allen at RB58 in PPR. The separate directional season projection is 68.9 PPR points. The ranking is draft order, not a claim that this projection has been newly validated. Captured PPR ADP 157.7 overall; ADP describes draft cost, not a positional finish prediction.

He is a reasonable hedge behind Hall or a standalone late stash. Avoid assuming that a Hall absence would transfer every carry, target and scoring opportunity to one replacement.

What Moves His Value

The upside: Allen earns regular complementary carries or leads a larger workload if Hall cannot handle it.

The downside: Hall keeps the valuable touches and Allen remains difficult to start outside a changed backfield situation.

Draft Question

What should change your decision on Braelon Allen?

Look for early-down and goal-line work while Hall is active. Receiving participation would provide a stronger floor than carries alone.

Compare his current price and positional alternatives on the preseason rankings board.

Sources (2)
Read next
Nova overview

Braelon Allen is Nova's 248th-ranked player overall (RB, NYJ), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 69 points this season, about 5.51 per game.

He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 158, ahead of Nova's 248.

His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Usage & opportunity2025 · 4 games
Snap share23%
Target share3%
Carry share16%
Air-yards share1%
Catch rate67%
WOPR (opportunity)0.048
12.5
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
14.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
13
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →
69 pt pool

Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.

Season outcome range
floor 19 ptmed 69 ptceil 133 pt
n/a
P(tier-1)
Report card
Opportunity · snaps23%
Rank edge vs market-59

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR248 (RB58)T7-94n/an/a18.8-132.8
Half PPR243 (RB58)T7-79.7n/an/a16.7-118
Standard243 (RB57)T8-64n/an/a15.2-106.7
2QB / Superflex252 (RB58)T8-94n/an/a18.8-132.8

Nova season stat lines12.5 expected games

StatNova projection
Receiving Yards107.2
Receptions13.7
Rushing Yards261.3
Rushing TDs1.8

2025 usage profile4 games

23%
snap share
0.8
targets / game
3%
team target share
1%
air yards share
0.048
WOPR (opportunity)
0.5
receptions / game
67%
catch rate
5.7
yards / target
2
air yards / game
4.5
carries / game
16%
team carry share
4.2
yards / carry
-0.2
TD pace vs position (1 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

1
broken tackles forced
10.8
rush yards before contact / g
8.2
rush yards after contact / g
1
drops
50%
drop rate
70.8
passer rating when targeted

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1NYJ vs PIT6-9-1 rush6.9
W2NYJ vs BUF2-11-0 rush, 0-0 rec1.1
W3NYJ vs TB6-30-0 rush, 2-17 rec6.7
W4NYJ vs MIA4-26-0 rush0.6
AI fantasy football questions for Braelon Allen

These answers are generated from the same NovaPredict player page data: Nova Rank, VORP, ADP, probability bands, team context, usage, schedule, and tracked market coverage where available.

What is the AI fantasy football prediction for Braelon Allen in 2026?

Nova ranks him No. 248 overall in Tier 7 with a 69-point season budget (5.51 PPR points per game) for the New York Jets. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run. His bye is Week 13.

Is Braelon Allen undervalued or overvalued by AI rankings?

Current PPR ADP is 157.7, around pick 14.02. Nova is lower than the draft room by about 59 picks.

What does NovaPredict project for Braelon Allen in PPR leagues?

Nova's PPR view for Braelon Allen is 69 season points at 5.51 points per game. His PPR VORP is -94, which is the value Nova sees above replacement at RB.

How risky is Braelon Allen based on AI probability bands and DNA grade?

He does not have a full DNA grade yet, usually because the NFL sample is too small or rookie-driven. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run.

Should I draft Braelon Allen at current ADP?

At ADP 157.7, Braelon Allen is priced as a RB on the New York Jets. Nova is lower than the draft room by about 59 picks. Schedule context: early SOS is 12.5 and playoff SOS is 14.7 on Nova's 1-32 scale.

What team context affects Braelon Allen's 2026 fantasy outlook?

Braelon Allen is listed with the New York Jets as a RB. The 2025 usage profile includes 4 games and a 23% snap share, plus a 3% target share and a 16% carry share. Team context matters because nearby New York Jets fantasy pieces on this board include Adonai Mitchell, Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson.

What market or injury context should I know for Braelon Allen?

No tracked season futures are captured for him yet, so the page leans on Nova ranks, ADP, usage, and outcome bands. Profile note: Nova has Braelon Allen, 248th overall, RB, NYJ, Tier 7, -94 VORP, 68.9 projected PPR points, 5.5 PPR points per game.