Kaelon Black
RBSF· bye 8· Nova #324 · T7ROOKIE/NA
-93.4
VORP
69*
season budget
* draft-capital prior (round 3, pick 90), not a projection.
Nova overview
Kaelon Black is Nova's 324th-ranked player overall (RB, SF), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 69 points this season (rookie draft-capital prior, directional).
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 4% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 4 points (floor) to 198 (ceiling). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.
16.7
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
10.3 tough
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
8
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →0%On pace
20.9 of 86.6 banked · 4wrevised 86.4
on pace (0%), performing about as projected.
Season outcome range
floor 4 ptmed 69 ptceil 198 pt
4%
P(tier-1)
13%
P(tier-2+)
RB39-RB90
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)4%
Rank edge vs market-30
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 324 | T7 | -93.4 | 4% | RB39-RB90 | 4.3-197.5 |
| Half PPR | 344 | T8 | -85.6 | 4% | RB39-RB90 | 3.9-178 |
| Standard | 391 | T9 | -76.6 | 4% | RB39-RB90 | 3.5-158.5 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 343 | T7 | -94.6 | 4% | RB39-RB90 | 4.3-197.5 |