Jameis Winston
QBNYG· bye 8· Nova #458 · T7DNA X
-112.7
VORP
10.14
PPR / game
Nova overview
Jameis Winston is Nova's 458th-ranked player overall (QB, NYG), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 127 points this season, about 10.14 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 0% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 35 points (floor) to 166 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades X (Extreme boom/bust). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
21.8
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
20.3
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
8
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+34%Ahead
56.6 of 92.7 banked · 4wrevised 112.9
+34% ahead of pace, some regression likely.
Per-game points distribution
38%
Bust <10 pts
39%
Solid 10–20 pts
23%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 20 games.
Season outcome range
floor 35 ptmed 127 ptceil 166 pt
0%
P(tier-1)
1%
P(tier-2+)
QB38-QB72
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)0%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 458 | T7 | -112.7 | 0% | QB38-QB72 | 34.8-165.6 |
| Half PPR | 532 | T8 | -105.3 | 0% | QB38-QB72 | 34.7-165.1 |
| Standard | 687 | T9 | -97.4 | 0% | QB38-QB73 | 34.6-164.7 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 282 | T7 | -81.8 | 0% | QB38-QB72 | 34.8-165.6 |