Mike Williams
WRPIT· bye 9· Nova #457 · T7DNA H
-112.5
VORP
4.35
PPR / game
Nova overview
Mike Williams is Nova's 457th-ranked player overall (WR, PIT), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 58 points this season, about 4.35 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 0% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 23 points (floor) to 102 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks soft.
15.7
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
22.3 soft
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
9
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →58 pt pool
Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.
Per-game points distribution
74%
Bust <10 pts
25%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 17 games.
Season outcome range
floor 23 ptmed 58 ptceil 102 pt
0%
P(tier-1)
1%
P(tier-2+)
WR97-WR147
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)0%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 457 | T7 | -112.5 | 0% | WR97-WR147 | 22.6-102.4 |
| Half PPR | 444 | T8 | -97.1 | 0% | WR97-WR147 | 18.4-83.4 |
| Standard | 440 | T9 | -80.4 | 0% | WR98-WR147 | 14.2-64.4 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 472 | T7 | -113.1 | 0% | WR97-WR147 | 22.6-102.4 |