Russell Wilson
QBNYG· bye 8· Nova #206 · T7DNA B
-62.6
VORP
13.11
PPR / game
Nova overview
Russell Wilson is Nova's 206th-ranked player overall (QB, NYG), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 179 points this season, about 13.11 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 2% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 50 points (floor) to 237 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
21.8
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
20.3
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
8
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →-3%On pace
48.4 of 139.4 banked · 4wrevised 137.2
on pace (-3%), performing about as projected.
Per-game points distribution
31%
Bust <10 pts
51%
Solid 10–20 pts
17%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 32 games.
Season outcome range
floor 50 ptmed 179 ptceil 237 pt
2%
P(tier-1)
7%
P(tier-2+)
QB25-QB56
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)2%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 206 | T7 | -62.6 | 2% | QB25-QB56 | 49.5-237.3 |
| Half PPR | 207 | T8 | -54.9 | 2% | QB25-QB56 | 49.5-237.3 |
| Standard | 212 | T9 | -46.8 | 2% | QB25-QB56 | 49.5-237.3 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 157 | T7 | -31.6 | 2% | QB25-QB56 | 49.5-237.3 |