Raheem Mostert
RBLV· bye 13· Nova #296 · T7DNA X
-88.9
VORP
6.55
PPR / game
Nova overview
Raheem Mostert is Nova's 296th-ranked player overall (RB, LV), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 91 points this season, about 6.55 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 3% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 24 points (floor) to 172 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades X (Extreme boom/bust). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
13.3
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
15.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
13
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →-56%BehindFluke risk
11.2 of 86.2 banked · 4wrevised 60.9
-56% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds.
Per-game points distribution
52%
Bust <10 pts
37%
Solid 10–20 pts
11%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 40 games.
Season outcome range
floor 24 ptmed 91 ptceil 172 pt
3%
P(tier-1)
9%
P(tier-2+)
RB41-RB79
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)3%
Rank edge vs market+142
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 296 | T7 | -88.9 | 3% | RB41-RB79 | 24-171.5 |
| Half PPR | 312 | T8 | -81.2 | 3% | RB41-RB79 | 21.8-155.8 |
| Standard | 335 | T9 | -71 | 3% | RB40-RB78 | 19.6-140.1 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 311 | T7 | -90.1 | 3% | RB41-RB79 | 24-171.5 |