Zach Wilson
QBMIA· bye 6· Nova #788 · T7DNA S
-145.1
VORP
7.63
PPR / game
Nova overview
Zach Wilson is Nova's 788th-ranked player overall (QB, MIA), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 96 points this season, about 7.63 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 0% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 24 points (floor) to 118 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S (Consistent). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.
15.2
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
6 tough
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
6
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →96 pt pool
Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.
Per-game points distribution
60%
Bust <10 pts
38%
Solid 10–20 pts
3%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 16 games.
Season outcome range
floor 24 ptmed 96 ptceil 118 pt
0%
P(tier-1)
0%
P(tier-2+)
QB53-QB86
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)0%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 788 | T7 | -145.1 | 0% | QB53-QB86 | 24-117.8 |
| Half PPR | 857 | T8 | -137.4 | 0% | QB53-QB86 | 24-117.8 |
| Standard | 885 | T9 | -129.3 | 0% | QB53-QB86 | 24-117.8 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 481 | T7 | -114.1 | 0% | QB53-QB86 | 24-117.8 |