Jalen McMillan
WRTB· bye 10· Nova #165 · T7DNA H
-40.5
VORP
141.9
ADP
9.98
PPR / game
Nova overview
Jalen McMillan is Nova's 165th-ranked player overall (WR, TB), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 126 points this season, about 9.98 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 142, ahead of Nova's 165.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 35 points (floor) to 161 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
14.3
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
18
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
10
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+1%On pace
38.1 of 92.2 banked · 4wrevised 92.9
on pace (+1%), performing about as projected.
Per-game points distribution
44%
Bust <10 pts
44%
Solid 10–20 pts
11%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 17 games.
Season outcome range
floor 35 ptmed 126 ptceil 161 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
5%
P(tier-2+)
WR62-WR123
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Rank edge vs market-13
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 165 | T7 | -40.5 | 1% | WR62-WR123 | 34.5-160.9 |
| Half PPR | 157 | T8 | -32.4 | 1% | WR60-WR121 | 29.2-135.8 |
| Standard | 149 | T9 | -21.8 | 2% | WR57-WR118 | 23.8-110.7 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 173 | T7 | -41 | 1% | WR62-WR123 | 34.5-160.9 |