Matthew Golden
WRGB· bye 11· Nova #209 · T7ROOKIE/NA
-64.1
VORP
112.4
ADP
5.35
PPR / game
Nova overview
Matthew Golden is Nova's 209th-ranked player overall (WR, GB), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 80 points this season, about 5.35 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 112, ahead of Nova's 209.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 29 points (floor) to 135 (ceiling). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Usage & opportunity2025 · 14 games
Snap share53%
Target share12%
Carry share2%
Air-yards share19%
Catch rate66%
WOPR (opportunity)0.322
Red-zone opps (0 TD)4
19.5
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
14.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
11
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+3%On pace
22.9 of 80 banked · 4wrevised 81.2
on pace (+3%), performing about as projected.
Season outcome range
floor 29 ptmed 80 ptceil 135 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
3%
P(tier-2+)
WR75-WR134
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Opportunity · snaps53%
Rank edge vs market-92
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 209 | T7 | -64.1 | 1% | WR75-WR134 | 29.2-135.1 |
| Half PPR | 208 | T8 | -55.4 | 1% | WR77-WR136 | 23.3-107.6 |
| Standard | 208 | T9 | -45.9 | 0% | WR82-WR138 | 17.3-80.1 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 226 | T7 | -64.7 | 1% | WR75-WR134 | 29.2-135.1 |
Nova season stat lines14.4 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 405.4 |
| Receptions | 32.5 |
| Rushing Yards | 49.5 |
2025 usage profile14 games
53%
snap share
3.1
targets / game
12%
team target share
19%
air yards share
0.322
WOPR (opportunity)
2.1
receptions / game
66%
catch rate
8.2
yards / target
39.4
air yards / game
0.7
carries / game
2%
team carry share
4.9
yards / carry
4
red-zone opportunities (0 TDs)
-0.6
TD equity (under pace, due)
-2.7
TD pace vs position (0 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
1
broken tackles forced
5.4
rush yards before contact / g
4.4
rush yards after contact / g
1
drops
2.4%
drop rate
73.7
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | GB vs DET | 2-16-0 (2 tgt) | 3.6 |
| W2 | GB vs WAS | 0-0-0 (2 tgt), 2-15 rush | 1.5 |
| W3 | GB vs CLE | 4-52-0 (4 tgt), 3-9 rush | 10.1 |
| W4 | GB vs DAL | 5-58-0 (6 tgt), 1-5 rush | 11.3 |
| W6 | GB vs CIN | 3-86-0 (5 tgt), 2-16 rush | 13.2 |
| W7 | GB vs ARI | 4-37-0 (4 tgt) | 7.7 |
| W8 | GB vs PIT | 3-4-0 (3 tgt) | 3.4 |
| W9 | GB vs CAR | 2-9-0 (3 tgt) | 2.9 |
| W11 | GB vs NYG | 1-24-0 (3 tgt) | 3.4 |
| W14 | GB vs CHI | 0-0-0 (1 tgt) | 0.0 |
| W15 | GB vs DEN | 3-55-0 (4 tgt) | 8.5 |
| W16 | GB vs CHI | 0-0-0 (1 tgt), 2-4 rush | 0.4 |
| W17 | GB vs BAL | 1-12-0 (3 tgt) | 2.2 |
| W18 | GB vs MIN | 1-8-0 (3 tgt) | 1.8 |