Jacoby Brissett
QBARI· bye 14· Nova #279 · T7DNA B
-84.5
VORP
121.0
ADP
13.56
PPR / game
Nova overview
Jacoby Brissett is Nova's 279th-ranked player overall (QB, ARI), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 186 points this season, about 13.56 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 3% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 51 points (floor) to 247 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Usage & opportunity2025 · 14 games
Snap share86%
Target share0%
Carry share13%
Air-yards share0%
WOPR (opportunity)0
Red-zone opps (1 TD)5
15.3
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
18.3
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
14
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+15%Ahead
59.5 of 146.6 banked · 4wrevised 158.8
+15% ahead of pace, some regression likely.
Per-game points distribution
30%
Bust <10 pts
50%
Solid 10–20 pts
20%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 23 games.
Season outcome range
floor 51 ptmed 186 ptceil 247 pt
3%
P(tier-1)
8%
P(tier-2+)
QB23-QB55
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)3%
Opportunity · snaps86%
Rank edge vs market-155
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 279 | T7 | -84.5 | 3% | QB23-QB55 | 51.4-247.3 |
| Half PPR | 314 | T8 | -81.5 | 3% | QB23-QB55 | 51.4-247.3 |
| Standard | 433 | T9 | -79.9 | 3% | QB23-QB55 | 51.4-247.3 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 201 | T7 | -53.6 | 3% | QB23-QB55 | 51.4-247.3 |
Nova season stat lines11.3 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 121.8 |
| Passing Yards | 2185.5 |
| Passing TDs | 14 |
2025 usage profile14 games
86%
snap share
2.7
carries / game
13%
team carry share
4.4
yards / carry
5
red-zone opportunities (1 TDs)
+0.4
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+4.7
TD pace vs position (24 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
2
broken tackles forced
9.6
rush yards before contact / g
4.4
rush yards after contact / g
151
times pressured
25.6%
pressure rate faced
104
times blitzed
43
times sacked
45
times hurried
63
times hit
23.8%
bad throw rate
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | ARI vs CAR | 0-0-0 pass, 1-2-0 rush | 0.2 |
| W5 | ARI vs TEN | 0-0-0 pass | 0.0 |
| W6 | ARI vs IND | 320-2-1 pass, 3-19-0 rush | 20.7 |
| W7 | ARI vs GB | 279-2-0 pass, 6-26-0 rush | 19.8 |
| W9 | ARI vs DAL | 261-2-0 pass, 5-4-1 rush | 24.8 |
| W10 | ARI vs SEA | 258-2-0 pass, 4-31-0 rush | 19.4 |
| W11 | ARI vs SF | 452-2-2 pass, 2--2-0 rush | 21.9 |
| W12 | ARI vs JAX | 317-1-0 pass, 3-20-0 rush | 18.7 |
| W13 | ARI vs TB | 301-2-1 pass, 3-16-0 rush | 19.6 |
| W14 | ARI vs LA | 271-2-1 pass, 4-22-0 rush | 19.0 |
| W15 | ARI vs HOU | 249-3-1 pass, 3-6-0 rush | 20.6 |
| W16 | ARI vs ATL | 203-1-1 pass, 1-5-0 rush | 10.6 |
| W17 | ARI vs CIN | 212-2-0 pass | 16.5 |
| W18 | ARI vs LA | 243-2-1 pass, 3-19-0 rush | 15.6 |