Gabe Davis
WRBUF· bye 7· Nova #246 · T7DNA X
-75
VORP
7.16
PPR / game
Nova overview
Gabe Davis is Nova's 246th-ranked player overall (WR, BUF), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 95 points this season, about 7.16 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 28 points (floor) to 127 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades X (Extreme boom/bust). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
16.5
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
16.3
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
7
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →95 pt pool
Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.
Per-game points distribution
56%
Bust <10 pts
38%
Solid 10–20 pts
6%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 32 games.
Season outcome range
floor 28 ptmed 95 ptceil 127 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
2%
P(tier-2+)
WR79-WR138
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 246 | T7 | -75 | 1% | WR79-WR138 | 27.6-127 |
| Half PPR | 235 | T8 | -64.4 | 1% | WR77-WR137 | 23.1-106.1 |
| Standard | 227 | T9 | -52.4 | 1% | WR75-WR135 | 18.5-85.1 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 260 | T7 | -75.6 | 1% | WR79-WR138 | 27.6-127 |