Justice Hill
RBBAL· bye 13· Nova #247 · T7DNA V
-75.2
VORP
154.5
ADP
6.63
PPR / game
Nova overview
Justice Hill is Nova's 247th-ranked player overall (RB, BAL), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 92 points this season, about 6.63 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 3% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 25 points (floor) to 180 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
17
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
18.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
13
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →-33%BehindFluke risk
17.7 of 89.3 banked · 4wrevised 73.6
-33% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds.
Per-game points distribution
65%
Bust <10 pts
34%
Solid 10–20 pts
2%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 41 games.
Season outcome range
floor 25 ptmed 92 ptceil 180 pt
3%
P(tier-1)
10%
P(tier-2+)
RB40-RB78
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)3%
Rank edge vs market-104
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 247 | T7 | -75.2 | 3% | RB40-RB78 | 24.5-179.9 |
| Half PPR | 266 | T8 | -72.1 | 2% | RB42-RB79 | 20.8-152.8 |
| Standard | 309 | T9 | -67.8 | 2% | RB45-RB81 | 17.1-125.7 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 263 | T7 | -76.4 | 3% | RB40-RB78 | 24.5-179.9 |