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Justice Hill

Justice Hill

RBBAL· bye 13· Nova #229 · T7DNA V
-80.9
VORP
163.8
ADP
5.89
PPR / game
The verdict

Nova has Justice Hill, 229th overall, RB, BAL, Tier 7, -80.9 VORP, 81.9 projected PPR points, 5.9 PPR points per game. Current PPR ADP is 163.8, so Nova is below the room on price. The modeled PPR range runs from 22 to 161 points.

By Chris Hanna · updated Sep 7, 2026

Editorial preseason rankings are shown separately from directional model projections, VORP, and tiers.

The 2026 Role

Baltimore lists Hill behind Henry and ahead of Rasheen Ali. The chart also includes Hill among its kick-return options, a separate assignment from his offensive work. Team source, checked September 7.

Our stored 2025 usage sample covers 10 games: 1.8 carries per game; 2.7 targets per game. These describe last season, not a promise of the same 2026 workload.

Our Draft Read

Our editorial board places Justice Hill at RB54 in PPR. The separate directional season projection is 81.9 PPR points. The ranking is draft order, not a claim that this projection has been newly validated. Captured PPR ADP 163.8 overall; ADP describes draft cost, not a positional finish prediction.

He is more appealing when your scoring rewards a receiving contribution and your bench can hold a complementary back. Do not count return involvement as offensive production unless your rules do.

What Moves His Value

The upside: A steady passing-game assignment supplies useful points without requiring a complete change at the top of the backfield.

The downside: Limited carries and inconsistent targets leave him without a reliable weekly floor.

Draft Question

What should change your decision on Justice Hill?

Measure routes and targets rather than assuming a second-place depth-chart listing means a workhorse contingency. His passing-game share is the more informative signal.

Compare his current price and positional alternatives on the preseason rankings board.

Sources (2)
Read next
Nova overview

Justice Hill is Nova's 229th-ranked player overall (RB, BAL), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 82 points this season, about 5.89 per game.

He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 164, ahead of Nova's 229.

His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Usage & opportunity2025 · 10 games
Snap share37%
Target share10%
Carry share7%
Air-yards share-1%
Catch rate78%
WOPR (opportunity)0.146
16.7
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
19.3
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
13
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →
-33%BehindFluke risk
17.7 of 89.3 banked · 4wrevised 73.6

-33% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds.

Per-game points distribution
8% @ 6 pts071522 pts
68%
Bust <10 pts
31%
Solid 10–20 pts
1%
Boom >20 pts

Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 41 games.

Season outcome range
floor 22 ptmed 82 ptceil 161 pt
n/a
P(tier-1)
Report card
Opportunity · snaps37%
Rank edge vs market-12

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR229 (RB54)T7-80.9n/an/a21.8-161.2
Half PPR226 (RB54)T7-70.7n/an/a18.7-138.2
Standard237 (RB56)T8-62n/an/a15.4-113.4
2QB / Superflex235 (RB54)T8-80.9n/an/a21.8-161.2

Nova season stat lines13.9 expected games

StatNova projection
Receiving Yards236.8
Receptions28.2
Receiving TDs1.6
Rushing Yards200
Rushing TDs1.8

2025 usage profile10 games

37%
snap share
2.7
targets / game
10%
team target share
-1%
air yards share
0.146
WOPR (opportunity)
2.1
receptions / game
78%
catch rate
6.3
yards / target
-0.6
air yards / game
1.8
carries / game
7%
team carry share
5.2
yards / carry
-0.1
TD pace vs position (3 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

6
broken tackles forced
2.9
rush yards before contact / g
8.8
rush yards after contact / g
0
drops
0%
drop rate
88.1
passer rating when targeted

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1BAL vs BUF2--14-0 rush, 1-3 rec-0.1
W2BAL vs CLE3-7-0 rush, 3-18 rec5.5
W3BAL vs DET0-0-0 rush, 3-45 rec7.5
W4BAL vs KC3-76-1 rush, 5-41 rec28.7
W5BAL vs HOU1-3-0 rush, 1-9 rec2.2
W6BAL vs LA6-16-0 rush, 5-28 rec9.4
W8BAL vs CHI1-2-0 rush0.2
W9BAL vs MIA1-2-0 rush, 2-13 rec3.5
W10BAL vs MIN1-1-1 rush, 1-12 rec8.3
W12BAL vs NYJ0-0-0 rush0.0
AI fantasy football questions for Justice Hill

These answers are generated from the same NovaPredict player page data: Nova Rank, VORP, ADP, probability bands, team context, usage, schedule, and tracked market coverage where available.

What is the AI fantasy football prediction for Justice Hill in 2026?

Nova ranks him No. 229 overall in Tier 7 with a 82-point season budget (5.89 PPR points per game) for the Baltimore Ravens. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run. His bye is Week 13.

Is Justice Hill undervalued or overvalued by AI rankings?

Current PPR ADP is 163.8, around pick 14.08. Nova is lower than the draft room by about 12 picks.

What does NovaPredict project for Justice Hill in PPR leagues?

Nova's PPR view for Justice Hill is 82 season points at 5.89 points per game. His PPR VORP is -80.9, which is the value Nova sees above replacement at RB.

How risky is Justice Hill based on AI probability bands and DNA grade?

His DNA grade is V, based on 41 logged games, so the AI view treats his week-to-week volatility as variable. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run.

Should I draft Justice Hill at current ADP?

At ADP 163.8, Justice Hill is priced as a RB on the Baltimore Ravens. Nova is lower than the draft room by about 12 picks. Schedule context: early SOS is 16.7 and playoff SOS is 19.3 on Nova's 1-32 scale.

What team context affects Justice Hill's 2026 fantasy outlook?

Justice Hill is listed with the Baltimore Ravens as a RB. The 2025 usage profile includes 10 games and a 37% snap share, plus a 10% target share and a 7% carry share. Team context matters because nearby Baltimore Ravens fantasy pieces on this board include Derrick Henry, Lamar Jackson, Mark Andrews.

What market or injury context should I know for Justice Hill?

No tracked season futures are captured for him yet, so the page leans on Nova ranks, ADP, usage, and outcome bands. Profile note: Nova has Justice Hill, 229th overall, RB, BAL, Tier 7, -80.9 VORP, 81.9 projected PPR points, 5.9 PPR points per game.