Keon Coleman
WRBUF· bye 7· Nova #182 · T7DNA S
-50.5
VORP
8.99
PPR / game
Nova overview
Keon Coleman is Nova's 182nd-ranked player overall (WR, BUF), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 130 points this season, about 8.99 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 3% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 44 points (floor) to 197 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S (Consistent). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
16.5
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
16.3
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
7
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →-4%On pace
34.3 of 118.7 banked · 4wrevised 116.2
on pace (-4%), performing about as projected.
Per-game points distribution
55%
Bust <10 pts
43%
Solid 10–20 pts
2%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 25 games.
Season outcome range
floor 44 ptmed 130 ptceil 197 pt
3%
P(tier-1)
10%
P(tier-2+)
WR45-WR107
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)3%
Rank edge vs market+65
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 182 | T7 | -50.5 | 3% | WR45-WR107 | 43.6-197 |
| Half PPR | 178 | T8 | -43.7 | 3% | WR44-WR106 | 36.4-164.3 |
| Standard | 174 | T9 | -35.1 | 4% | WR43-WR103 | 29.1-131.6 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 194 | T7 | -51.1 | 3% | WR45-WR107 | 43.6-197 |