Tyler Boyd
WRTEN· bye 9· Nova #248 · T7DNA S+
-75.9
VORP
6.04
PPR / game
Nova overview
Tyler Boyd is Nova's 248th-ranked player overall (WR, TEN), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 94 points this season, about 6.04 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 2% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 35 points (floor) to 161 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S+ (Elite consistency). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks soft.
18.2
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
26.7 soft
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
9
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+41%AheadSell high
34.1 of 94.7 banked · 4wrevised 114.4
+41% ahead of pace, some regression likely, a sell-high window.
Per-game points distribution
81%
Bust <10 pts
19%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 32 games.
Season outcome range
floor 35 ptmed 94 ptceil 161 pt
2%
P(tier-1)
5%
P(tier-2+)
WR61-WR122
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)2%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 248 | T7 | -75.9 | 2% | WR61-WR122 | 35.4-161 |
| Half PPR | 270 | T8 | -72.5 | 1% | WR66-WR127 | 27.2-123.6 |
| Standard | 310 | T9 | -67.8 | 1% | WR75-WR134 | 19-86.2 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 264 | T7 | -76.5 | 2% | WR61-WR122 | 35.4-161 |