Anthony Richardson
QBIND· bye 13· Nova #192 · T7DNA H
-53.6
VORP
14.7
PPR / game
Nova overview
Anthony Richardson is Nova's 192nd-ranked player overall (QB, IND), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 179 points this season, about 14.7 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 41 points (floor) to 198 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
20.3
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
19.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
13
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+18%Ahead
64.5 of 111.8 banked · 4wrevised 125.2
+18% ahead of pace, some regression likely.
Per-game points distribution
27%
Bust <10 pts
44%
Solid 10–20 pts
29%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 17 games.
Season outcome range
floor 41 ptmed 179 ptceil 198 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
3%
P(tier-2+)
QB31-QB65
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 192 | T7 | -53.6 | 1% | QB31-QB65 | 40.6-197.6 |
| Half PPR | 186 | T8 | -46.7 | 1% | QB31-QB65 | 40.5-196.6 |
| Standard | 188 | T9 | -39.2 | 1% | QB32-QB66 | 40.3-195.7 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 143 | T7 | -22.7 | 1% | QB31-QB65 | 40.6-197.6 |