Logan Thomas

Where He's Expected to Land

Nova's median outcome is 107 points on the season (7.2 PPR per game), with a simulated range from a 41-point floor to a 172-point ceiling and just a 6% shot at a tier-1 season (16% at tier-2-or-better). The per-game shape is almost entirely empty weeks, 69% bust (under 10 points), 31% solid, 0% boom, and Nova's own "likely finish" window is a sprawling TE18–TE42, the kind of spread a model produces when it has no real role to anchor to. Every format table on his page (PPR, half-PPR, standard, superflex) tells the same story with cosmetic differences in VORP and tier.

The Last Three Seasons

(Source: Pro-Football-Reference career log.) There is no 2024 or 2025 row because he didn't play in either season, the table simply stops. The trend inside it is a slow crawl back toward relevance after an injury-shortened 2021 (six games, but a strong 3.0 pts/game pace), building to a 16-game, 55-catch 2023 that was actually his highest-volume season since his 2020 career year. Then Washington released him, and NFL box scores never had him in them again.

What Changed for Him This Offseason

Nothing changed on a football field, because he hasn't been on one in an official capacity since 2023. Washington released Thomas and tackle Charles Leno Jr. on March 1, 2024, ending a four-year run in which he caught 184 passes for 1,685 yards and 14 touchdowns across 52 games (Commanders.com, March 1, 2024). San Francisco signed him that June, released him in the middle of camp on August 9, re-signed him August 22 as a veteran option behind George Kittle, then released him again on August 27, three transactions in nineteen days (NBC Sports Bay Area, August 22, 2024), and he's been off every roster since as far as the public record shows. That's the whole 2026 offseason story: silence, for two full league years running.

What Changed Around Him

There's no "around him" to write, because there's no team, no QB room, no offensive coordinator whose scheme touches his usage. The last real context on record is from that August 2024 re-signing, when the 49ers brought him back specifically because George Kittle's backup situation looked thin heading into cutdowns, and Thomas still didn't survive final roster cuts a week later. That's the closest thing to a scouting report the last two years have produced: not good enough to hold a TE2/TE3 job even in a year a contender was actively looking for one.

What They're Saying

The football beat has moved on. There's no camp report, no depth-chart mention, no beat-writer note on Logan Thomas anywhere in current coverage, the same absence of signal that shows up everywhere else in this profile. The last verifiable transaction on him is still that August 27, 2024 release (NBC Sports Bay Area), and nothing has surfaced since to update it.

The Buzz

There isn't any. He doesn't appear in 2026 ADP data, mock rosters, or waiver-wire chatter, not because the fantasy community is fading him, but because there's genuinely nothing to discuss. Nova's model is more optimistic about his 2026 than the actual football-media apparatus is, which is a strange but honest thing to report.

Swing Factors

• Any NFL signing at all (+100 pts): the single biggest swing in this profile isn't a role change, it's the binary of whether a team calls at all.
• Two years of game inactivity (−): every month without a snap makes a training-camp invite, let alone a roster spot, less likely.
• Age (35 in 2026): working against him in a league that skews younger at every non-QB skill spot.
• Roster status: Thomas needs a current NFL role before any schedule or matchup angle matters.

If Everything Goes Right / If Everything Goes Wrong

If everything goes right: an August injury wave at tight end somewhere prompts a camp call, he makes a 53-man as TE3, and Nova's 90th-percentile 180-point season becomes a real if unlikely outcome, replacement-level receiving work in a run-funnel offense. Nova prices the tier-1 season at 6%, which already reflects how much this outcome depends on events that haven't happened yet.

If everything goes wrong, which, per the public record, is already the base case: no team calls, he doesn't play a regular-season snap in 2026, and the 42-point "floor" on Nova's page is never actually tested because there's no game to generate it in. The 69% weekly bust rate isn't really a football projection at that point; it's what happens when a probability model has to output something for a player with no active role to price.

Nova's Edge

The honest edge here is refusing to pretend there is a role to chase. Thomas has not recorded an NFL stat since 2023, and his most recent transaction history does not give him a current fantasy path. The Tier 7 grade is earned by inactivity and age, not by a hidden upside case.

The Bottom Line

There's no round, ADP range, or waiver priority to give, don't roster him in any redraft format, and even in deep dynasty or best-ball pools this is a nostalgia pick, not a plan. The one thing worth tracking is binary: does any team sign him to a camp deal before Week 1. If the answer is no, and it has been no for two straight years now, treat this as the last profile this site writes on him until that changes. Graded in public: if Logan Thomas appears in a regular-season box score in 2026, Nova's -40 VORP undersold him; if he doesn't, the model's floor number was never real to begin with, and the team tag should have said so from the start.