Kenneth Gainwell
RBPIT· bye 9· Nova #170 · T7DNA H
-44.6
VORP
8.11
PPR / game
Nova overview
Kenneth Gainwell is Nova's 170th-ranked player overall (RB, PIT), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 124 points this season, about 8.11 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 10% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 36 points (floor) to 267 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
17
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
20.3
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
9
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+45%AheadSell high
46.9 of 132.3 banked · 4wrevised 162
+45% ahead of pace, some regression likely, a sell-high window.
Per-game points distribution
55%
Bust <10 pts
40%
Solid 10–20 pts
5%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 50 games.
Season outcome range
floor 36 ptmed 124 ptceil 267 pt
10%
P(tier-1)
25%
P(tier-2+)
RB25-RB63
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)10%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 170 | T7 | -44.6 | 10% | RB25-RB63 | 35.9-266.7 |
| Half PPR | 190 | T8 | -47.6 | 8% | RB27-RB66 | 30.4-225.2 |
| Standard | 217 | T9 | -48.5 | 6% | RB30-RB69 | 24.8-183.7 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 182 | T7 | -45.8 | 10% | RB25-RB63 | 35.9-266.7 |