Justin Fields
QBNYJ· bye 13· Nova #153 · T7DNA X
-34.1
VORP
15.48
PPR / game
Nova overview
Justin Fields is Nova's 153rd-ranked player overall (QB, NYJ), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 216 points this season, about 15.48 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 4% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 62 points (floor) to 285 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades X (Extreme boom/bust). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.
17
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
10.3 tough
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
13
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →-25%Behind
46.2 of 180.2 banked · 4wrevised 154.9
-25% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds.
Per-game points distribution
25%
Bust <10 pts
41%
Solid 10–20 pts
34%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 32 games.
Season outcome range
floor 62 ptmed 216 ptceil 285 pt
4%
P(tier-1)
14%
P(tier-2+)
QB18-QB46
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)4%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 153 | T7 | -34.1 | 4% | QB18-QB46 | 62.3-284.7 |
| Half PPR | 147 | T8 | -26.5 | 4% | QB18-QB46 | 62.3-284.7 |
| Standard | 141 | T9 | -18.3 | 4% | QB18-QB46 | 62.3-284.7 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 109 | T7 | -3.2 | 4% | QB18-QB46 | 62.3-284.7 |