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Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

RBJAX· bye 7· Nova #192 · T7DNA V
-75.3
VORP
157.2
ADP
6.79
PPR / game
The verdict

Nova has Chris Rodriguez Jr., 192nd overall, RB, JAX, Tier 7, -75.3 VORP, 87.6 projected PPR points, 6.8 PPR points per game. Current PPR ADP is 157.2, so Nova is below the room on price. The modeled PPR range runs from 23 to 170 points.

By Chris Hanna · updated Sep 7, 2026

Editorial preseason rankings are shown separately from directional model projections, VORP, and tiers.

The 2026 Role

Jacksonville's roster breakdown identifies Rodriguez and Bhayshul Tuten as preseason co-starters. It credits Rodriguez with 500 rushing yards and six touchdowns for Washington last season before joining the Jaguars. Team source, checked September 7.

Our stored 2025 usage sample covers 12 games: 9.3 carries per game; 0.3 targets per game. These describe last season, not a promise of the same 2026 workload.

Our Draft Read

Our editorial board places Chris Rodriguez Jr. at RB48 in PPR. The separate directional season projection is 87.6 PPR points. The ranking is draft order, not a claim that this projection has been newly validated. Captured PPR ADP 157.2 overall; ADP describes draft cost, not a positional finish prediction.

Treat him as a shared-role running back rather than pure injury insurance. That distinction matters for a roster looking for usable carries before another player misses time.

What Moves His Value

The upside: A meaningful early-down or goal-line share creates flex opportunities even while Tuten remains involved.

The downside: Shared work without enough receptions can make fantasy points highly dependent on touchdowns.

Draft Question

What should change your decision on Chris Rodriguez Jr.?

Watch the split of early-down carries and goal-line work. Co-starter language is a reason to investigate the workload, not evidence of a precise touch percentage.

Compare his current price and positional alternatives on the preseason rankings board.

Sources (2)
Read next
Nova overview

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is Nova's 192nd-ranked player overall (RB, JAX), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 88 points this season, about 6.79 per game.

He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 157, ahead of Nova's 192.

His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks soft.

Usage & opportunity2025 · 12 games
Snap share31%
Target share1%
Carry share31%
Air-yards share0%
Catch rate75%
WOPR (opportunity)0.022
14.5
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
22 soft
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
7
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →
88 pt pool

Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.

Per-game points distribution
8% @ 7 pts071421 pts
69%
Bust <10 pts
31%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts

Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 28 games.

Season outcome range
floor 23 ptmed 88 ptceil 170 pt
n/a
P(tier-1)
Report card
Opportunity · snaps31%
Rank edge vs market-7

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR192 (RB48)T7-75.3n/an/a23-170.1
Half PPR182 (RB47)T7-56.1n/an/a22.3-164.8
Standard164 (RB45)T8-38.7n/an/a21.2-157
2QB / Superflex200 (RB48)T8-75.3n/an/a23-170.1

Nova season stat lines12.9 expected games

StatNova projection
Receiving Yards28.3
Receptions3.1
Rushing Yards437.3
Rushing TDs5

2025 usage profile12 games

31%
snap share
9.3
carries / game
31%
team carry share
4.5
yards / carry
+2.3
TD pace vs position (6 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

13
broken tackles forced
13.9
rush yards before contact / g
27.8
rush yards after contact / g
0
drops
0%
drop rate
75.5
passer rating when targeted

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W3WAS vs LV11-39-0 rush3.9
W4WAS vs ATL7-59-0 rush5.9
W5WAS vs LAC5-7-0 rush0.7
W7WAS vs DAL3-12-1 rush7.2
W8WAS vs KC1-2-0 rush0.2
W9WAS vs SEA12-65-1 rush12.5
W10WAS vs DET6-16-1 rush7.6
W11WAS vs MIA15-79-0 rush, 1-6 rec9.5
W13WAS vs DEN11-41-1 rush, 0-0 rec10.1
W14WAS vs MIN10-52-0 rush5.2
W16WAS vs PHI15-63-1 rush, 1-6 rec13.9
W18WAS vs PHI16-65-1 rush, 1-18 rec15.3
AI fantasy football questions for Chris Rodriguez Jr.

These answers are generated from the same NovaPredict player page data: Nova Rank, VORP, ADP, probability bands, team context, usage, schedule, and tracked market coverage where available.

What is the AI fantasy football prediction for Chris Rodriguez Jr. in 2026?

Nova ranks him No. 192 overall in Tier 7 with a 88-point season budget (6.79 PPR points per game) for the Jacksonville Jaguars. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run. His bye is Week 7.

Is Chris Rodriguez Jr. undervalued or overvalued by AI rankings?

Current PPR ADP is 157.2, around pick 14.01. Nova and the draft room are close enough that roster fit and tier timing matter more than a big rank gap.

What does NovaPredict project for Chris Rodriguez Jr. in PPR leagues?

Nova's PPR view for Chris Rodriguez Jr. is 88 season points at 6.79 points per game. His PPR VORP is -75.3, which is the value Nova sees above replacement at RB.

How risky is Chris Rodriguez Jr. based on AI probability bands and DNA grade?

His DNA grade is V, based on 28 logged games, so the AI view treats his week-to-week volatility as variable. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run.

Should I draft Chris Rodriguez Jr. at current ADP?

At ADP 157.2, Chris Rodriguez Jr. is priced as a RB on the Jacksonville Jaguars. Nova and the draft room are close enough that roster fit and tier timing matter more than a big rank gap. Schedule context: early SOS is 14.5 and playoff SOS is 22 on Nova's 1-32 scale.

What team context affects Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s 2026 fantasy outlook?

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is listed with the Jacksonville Jaguars as a RB. The 2025 usage profile includes 12 games and a 31% snap share, plus a 1% target share and a 31% carry share. Team context matters because nearby Jacksonville Jaguars fantasy pieces on this board include Bhayshul Tuten, Brenton Strange, Brian Thomas Jr..

What market or injury context should I know for Chris Rodriguez Jr.?

No tracked season futures are captured for him yet, so the page leans on Nova ranks, ADP, usage, and outcome bands. Profile note: Nova has Chris Rodriguez Jr., 192nd overall, RB, JAX, Tier 7, -75.3 VORP, 87.6 projected PPR points, 6.8 PPR points per game.