Chris Rodriguez Jr.
RBJAX· bye 7· Nova #203 · T7DNA V
-59.8
VORP
155.6
ADP
6.14
PPR / game
Nova overview
Chris Rodriguez Jr. is Nova's 203rd-ranked player overall (RB, JAX), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 79 points this season, about 6.14 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 156, ahead of Nova's 203.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 19 points (floor) to 144 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Usage & opportunity2025 · 12 games
Snap share31%
Target share1%
Carry share31%
Air-yards share0%
Catch rate75%
WOPR (opportunity)0.022
Red-zone opps (6 TD)34
14.3
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
21.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
7
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →79 pt pool
Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.
Per-game points distribution
73%
Bust <10 pts
27%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 28 games.
Season outcome range
floor 19 ptmed 79 ptceil 144 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
5%
P(tier-2+)
RB49-RB84
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Opportunity · snaps31%
Rank edge vs market-27
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 203 | T7 | -59.8 | 1% | RB49-RB84 | 18.5-143.8 |
| Half PPR | 201 | T8 | -52 | 2% | RB45-RB82 | 18.1-140.2 |
| Standard | 191 | T9 | -40.8 | 2% | RB41-RB80 | 17.6-136.6 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 220 | T7 | -61 | 1% | RB49-RB84 | 18.5-143.8 |
Nova season stat lines11.6 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 30.6 |
| Receptions | 3.5 |
| Rushing Yards | 381.9 |
| Rushing TDs | 4.2 |
2025 usage profile12 games
31%
snap share
9.3
carries / game
31%
team carry share
4.5
yards / carry
34
red-zone opportunities (6 TDs)
+1.8
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+2.3
TD pace vs position (6 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
13
broken tackles forced
13.9
rush yards before contact / g
27.8
rush yards after contact / g
0
drops
0%
drop rate
75.5
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W3 | WAS vs LV | 11-39-0 rush | 3.9 |
| W4 | WAS vs ATL | 7-59-0 rush | 5.9 |
| W5 | WAS vs LAC | 5-7-0 rush | 0.7 |
| W7 | WAS vs DAL | 3-12-1 rush | 7.2 |
| W8 | WAS vs KC | 1-2-0 rush | 0.2 |
| W9 | WAS vs SEA | 12-65-1 rush | 12.5 |
| W10 | WAS vs DET | 6-16-1 rush | 7.6 |
| W11 | WAS vs MIA | 15-79-0 rush, 1-6 rec | 9.5 |
| W13 | WAS vs DEN | 11-41-1 rush, 0-0 rec | 10.1 |
| W14 | WAS vs MIN | 10-52-0 rush | 5.2 |
| W16 | WAS vs PHI | 15-63-1 rush, 1-6 rec | 13.9 |
| W18 | WAS vs PHI | 16-65-1 rush, 1-18 rec | 15.3 |