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Parker Washington

Parker Washington

WRJAX· bye 7· Nova #100 · T7DNA H
-13.5
VORP
62.5
ADP
10.38
PPR / game
The verdict

Nova has Parker Washington, 100th overall, WR, JAX, Tier 7, -13.5 VORP, 154.7 projected PPR points, 10.4 PPR points per game. Current PPR ADP is 62.5, so Nova is below the room on price. The modeled PPR range runs from 55 to 258 points.

By Chris Hanna · updated Sep 7, 2026

Editorial preseason rankings are shown separately from directional model projections, VORP, and tiers.

The 2026 Role

Jacksonville credits Washington with 58 catches, 847 receiving yards and five receiving touchdowns in 16 games in 2025. He also scored twice on punt returns, but those return touchdowns should not be treated as repeatable receiving production. Team source, checked September 7.

Our stored 2025 usage sample covers 16 games: 5.9 targets per game; 3.6 receptions per game. These describe last season, not a promise of the same 2026 workload.

Our Draft Read

Our editorial board places Parker Washington at WR41 in PPR. The separate directional season projection is 154.7 PPR points. The ranking is draft order, not a claim that this projection has been newly validated. Captured PPR ADP 62.5 overall; ADP describes draft cost, not a positional finish prediction.

He fits as depth behind a stable receiving core. Check your league's return-scoring rules before paying a premium for highlights that might not score for his individual fantasy slot.

What Moves His Value

The upside: A sustained receiving role lets last season's yardage translate into usable flex weeks even without another pair of return touchdowns.

The downside: If targets become less consistent, special-teams involvement will not necessarily rescue his score in ordinary offensive-player formats.

Draft Question

What should change your decision on Parker Washington?

Judge his offensive targets separately from return opportunities. Raise him when the receiving workload holds, not simply because he remains active on special teams.

Compare his current price and positional alternatives on the preseason rankings board.

Sources (2)
Read next
Nova overview

Parker Washington is Nova's 100th-ranked player overall (WR, JAX), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 155 points this season, about 10.38 per game.

He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 63, ahead of Nova's 100.

His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). Nova sits below the Vegas market on him (divergence -11). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Usage & opportunity2025 · 16 games
Snap share61%
Target share18%
Carry share2%
Air-yards share24%
Catch rate61%
WOPR (opportunity)0.439
6.8 tough
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
20
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
7
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →
-16%Behind
31.9 of 136.5 banked · 4wrevised 124.8

-16% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds.

Per-game points distribution
6% @ 11 pts091828 pts
44%
Bust <10 pts
47%
Solid 10–20 pts
9%
Boom >20 pts

Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 38 games.

Season outcome range
floor 55 ptmed 155 ptceil 258 pt
n/a
P(tier-1)
Report card
Opportunity · snaps61%
Rank edge vs market-38

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR100 (WR41)T7-13.5n/an/a54.9-258.1
Half PPR98 (WR40)T7-15.1n/an/a44.8-210.4
Standard102 (WR38)T8-15.9n/an/a35.6-167.8
2QB / Superflex112 (WR41)T8-13.5n/an/a54.9-258.1

Nova season stat lines14.9 expected games

StatNova projection
Receiving Yards650.5
Receptions47.4
Receiving TDs4.3

2025 usage profile16 games

61%
snap share
5.9
targets / game
18%
team target share
24%
air yards share
0.439
WOPR (opportunity)
3.6
receptions / game
61%
catch rate
8.9
yards / target
74.2
air yards / game
0.4
carries / game
2%
team carry share
0
yards / carry
+1.9
TD pace vs position (5 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

5
broken tackles forced
-1.2
rush yards before contact / g
1.2
rush yards after contact / g
7
drops
4.6%
drop rate
90.4
passer rating when targeted

Tracked market season lines vs Novaseason betting market vs Nova’s projection

StatDK lineMarket leanNovaΔ%
Receiving Yards824.550% over650.5-21.1%
Receiving TDs4.551% over4.3n/a
Receptions62.551% over47.4-24.2%

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1JAX vs CAR0-0-0 (0 tgt)0.0
W2JAX vs CIN5-76-0 (5 tgt)12.6
W3JAX vs HOU4-34-0 (11 tgt)7.4
W4JAX vs SF0-0-0 (2 tgt), 1--1 rush5.9
W5JAX vs KC2-16-1 (3 tgt)9.6
W6JAX vs SEA2-29-0 (4 tgt)4.9
W7JAX vs LA4-52-0 (10 tgt), 3-10 rush10.2
W9JAX vs LV8-90-0 (9 tgt)17.0
W10JAX vs HOU3-33-1 (7 tgt), 2--4 rush17.9
W11JAX vs LAC2-20-0 (2 tgt)4.0
W12JAX vs ARI5-71-1 (7 tgt)18.1
W13JAX vs TEN1-26-0 (3 tgt)3.6
W15JAX vs NYJ3-53-0 (3 tgt)8.3
W16JAX vs DEN6-145-1 (10 tgt)26.5
W17JAX vs IND8-115-0 (10 tgt), 1--5 rush19.0
W18JAX vs TEN5-87-1 (9 tgt)19.7
AI fantasy football questions for Parker Washington

These answers are generated from the same NovaPredict player page data: Nova Rank, VORP, ADP, probability bands, team context, usage, schedule, and tracked market coverage where available.

What is the AI fantasy football prediction for Parker Washington in 2026?

Nova ranks him No. 100 overall in Tier 7 with a 155-point season budget (10.38 PPR points per game) for the Jacksonville Jaguars. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run. His bye is Week 7.

Is Parker Washington undervalued or overvalued by AI rankings?

Current PPR ADP is 62.5, around pick 6.02. Nova is lower than the draft room by about 38 picks.

What does NovaPredict project for Parker Washington in PPR leagues?

Nova's PPR view for Parker Washington is 155 season points at 10.38 points per game. His PPR VORP is -13.5, which is the value Nova sees above replacement at WR.

How risky is Parker Washington based on AI probability bands and DNA grade?

His DNA grade is H, based on 38 logged games, so the AI view treats his week-to-week volatility as high variance. Full probability bands are not available for this player in the current data run.

Should I draft Parker Washington at current ADP?

At ADP 62.5, Parker Washington is priced as a WR on the Jacksonville Jaguars. Nova is lower than the draft room by about 38 picks. Schedule context: early SOS is 6.8 and playoff SOS is 20 on Nova's 1-32 scale.

What team context affects Parker Washington's 2026 fantasy outlook?

Parker Washington is listed with the Jacksonville Jaguars as a WR. The 2025 usage profile includes 16 games and a 61% snap share, plus a 18% target share and a 2% carry share. Team context matters because nearby Jacksonville Jaguars fantasy pieces on this board include Bhayshul Tuten, Brenton Strange, Brian Thomas Jr..

What market or injury context should I know for Parker Washington?

Tracked market lines are loaded for 3 season stats, so Nova can compare its stat projection against the market. Profile note: Nova has Parker Washington, 100th overall, WR, JAX, Tier 7, -13.5 VORP, 154.7 projected PPR points, 10.4 PPR points per game.