Parker Washington
WRJAX· bye 7· Nova #124 · T7DNA H
-16.1
VORP
73.2
ADP
9.89
PPR / game
Nova overview
Parker Washington is Nova's 124th-ranked player overall (WR, JAX), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 147 points this season, about 9.89 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 73, ahead of Nova's 124.
Nova gives him about a 5% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 47 points (floor) to 216 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Usage & opportunity2025 · 16 games
Snap share61%
Target share18%
Carry share2%
Air-yards share24%
Catch rate61%
WOPR (opportunity)0.439
Red-zone opps (4 TD)17
6.3 tough
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
20
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
7
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →-16%Behind
31.9 of 136.5 banked · 4wrevised 124.8
-16% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds.
Per-game points distribution
46%
Bust <10 pts
46%
Solid 10–20 pts
8%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 38 games.
Season outcome range
floor 47 ptmed 147 ptceil 216 pt
5%
P(tier-1)
13%
P(tier-2+)
WR39-WR100
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)5%
Opportunity · snaps61%
Rank edge vs market-49
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 124 | T7 | -16.1 | 5% | WR39-WR100 | 46.7-215.9 |
| Half PPR | 121 | T8 | -12.4 | 5% | WR39-WR99 | 38.6-178.6 |
| Standard | 112 | T9 | -8.4 | 5% | WR38-WR98 | 30.6-141.4 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 134 | T7 | -16.7 | 5% | WR39-WR100 | 46.7-215.9 |
Nova season stat lines14.3 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 599.4 |
| Receptions | 44.3 |
| Receiving TDs | 4 |
2025 usage profile16 games
61%
snap share
5.9
targets / game
18%
team target share
24%
air yards share
0.439
WOPR (opportunity)
3.6
receptions / game
61%
catch rate
8.9
yards / target
74.2
air yards / game
0.4
carries / game
2%
team carry share
0
yards / carry
17
red-zone opportunities (4 TDs)
+0.7
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+1.9
TD pace vs position (5 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
5
broken tackles forced
-1.2
rush yards before contact / g
1.2
rush yards after contact / g
7
drops
4.6%
drop rate
90.4
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | JAX vs CAR | 0-0-0 (0 tgt) | 0.0 |
| W2 | JAX vs CIN | 5-76-0 (5 tgt) | 12.6 |
| W3 | JAX vs HOU | 4-34-0 (11 tgt) | 7.4 |
| W4 | JAX vs SF | 0-0-0 (2 tgt), 1--1 rush | 5.9 |
| W5 | JAX vs KC | 2-16-1 (3 tgt) | 9.6 |
| W6 | JAX vs SEA | 2-29-0 (4 tgt) | 4.9 |
| W7 | JAX vs LA | 4-52-0 (10 tgt), 3-10 rush | 10.2 |
| W9 | JAX vs LV | 8-90-0 (9 tgt) | 17.0 |
| W10 | JAX vs HOU | 3-33-1 (7 tgt), 2--4 rush | 17.9 |
| W11 | JAX vs LAC | 2-20-0 (2 tgt) | 4.0 |
| W12 | JAX vs ARI | 5-71-1 (7 tgt) | 18.1 |
| W13 | JAX vs TEN | 1-26-0 (3 tgt) | 3.6 |
| W15 | JAX vs NYJ | 3-53-0 (3 tgt) | 8.3 |
| W16 | JAX vs DEN | 6-145-1 (10 tgt) | 26.5 |
| W17 | JAX vs IND | 8-115-0 (10 tgt), 1--5 rush | 19.0 |
| W18 | JAX vs TEN | 5-87-1 (9 tgt) | 19.7 |