Allen Lazard
WRNYJ· bye 13· Nova #351 · T7DNA X
-98.2
VORP
5.24
PPR / game
Nova overview
Allen Lazard is Nova's 351st-ranked player overall (WR, NYJ), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 73 points this season, about 5.24 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 0% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 23 points (floor) to 108 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades X (Extreme boom/bust). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.
20.3
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
9.7 tough
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
13
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →73 pt pool
Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.
Per-game points distribution
70%
Bust <10 pts
29%
Solid 10–20 pts
1%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 35 games.
Season outcome range
floor 23 ptmed 73 ptceil 108 pt
0%
P(tier-1)
1%
P(tier-2+)
WR94-WR145
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)0%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 351 | T7 | -98.2 | 0% | WR94-WR145 | 22.8-108.1 |
| Half PPR | 339 | T8 | -84.6 | 0% | WR93-WR144 | 18.9-89.7 |
| Standard | 324 | T9 | -69.8 | 0% | WR92-WR144 | 15-71.4 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 364 | T7 | -98.7 | 0% | WR94-WR145 | 22.8-108.1 |
