Antonio Gibson
RBNE· bye 11· Nova #352 · T7DNA S+
-98.3
VORP
5.88
PPR / game
Nova overview
Antonio Gibson is Nova's 352nd-ranked player overall (RB, NE), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 78 points this season, about 5.88 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 17 points (floor) to 141 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S+ (Elite consistency). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
14.8
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
13
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
11
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →78 pt pool
Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.
Per-game points distribution
85%
Bust <10 pts
15%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 38 games.
Season outcome range
floor 17 ptmed 78 ptceil 141 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
5%
P(tier-2+)
RB51-RB84
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Rank edge vs market+75
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 352 | T7 | -98.3 | 1% | RB51-RB84 | 17.3-140.6 |
| Half PPR | 391 | T8 | -91.9 | 1% | RB52-RB85 | 15.1-122.5 |
| Standard | 475 | T9 | -83.2 | 1% | RB54-RB86 | 12.9-104.4 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 370 | T7 | -99.5 | 1% | RB51-RB84 | 17.3-140.6 |