Aidan O'Connell
QBLV· bye 13· Nova #398 · T7DNA B
-105.5
VORP
11.01
PPR / game
Nova overview
Aidan O'Connell is Nova's 398th-ranked player overall (QB, LV), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 135 points this season, about 11.01 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 0% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 33 points (floor) to 163 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
10.2 tough
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
18.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
13
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →-1%On pace
43.9 of 92.8 banked · 4wrevised 92.4
on pace (-1%), performing about as projected.
Per-game points distribution
41%
Bust <10 pts
50%
Solid 10–20 pts
9%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 21 games.
Season outcome range
floor 33 ptmed 135 ptceil 163 pt
0%
P(tier-1)
1%
P(tier-2+)
QB39-QB75
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)0%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 398 | T7 | -105.5 | 0% | QB39-QB75 | 32.8-162.8 |
| Half PPR | 449 | T8 | -97.9 | 0% | QB39-QB75 | 32.8-162.8 |
| Standard | 570 | T9 | -89.7 | 0% | QB39-QB75 | 32.8-162.8 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 257 | T7 | -74.6 | 0% | QB39-QB75 | 32.8-162.8 |