Sterling Shepard
WRTB· bye 10· Nova #341 · T7DNA S+
-96.2
VORP
5.14
PPR / game
Nova overview
Sterling Shepard is Nova's 341st-ranked player overall (WR, TB), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 74 points this season, about 5.14 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 0% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 26 points (floor) to 118 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S+ (Elite consistency). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
14.3
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
18
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
10
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →74 pt pool
Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.
Per-game points distribution
92%
Bust <10 pts
8%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 36 games.
Season outcome range
floor 26 ptmed 74 ptceil 118 pt
0%
P(tier-1)
1%
P(tier-2+)
WR85-WR141
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)0%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 341 | T7 | -96.2 | 0% | WR85-WR141 | 25.8-118 |
| Half PPR | 355 | T8 | -86.9 | 0% | WR90-WR143 | 20.2-92.2 |
| Standard | 386 | T9 | -76.3 | 0% | WR96-WR146 | 14.6-66.4 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 356 | T7 | -96.8 | 0% | WR85-WR141 | 25.8-118 |