Mitchell Trubisky
QBBUF· bye 7· Nova #915 · T9DNA H
-191.6
VORP
5.2
PPR / game
Nova overview
Mitchell Trubisky is Nova's 915th-ranked player overall (QB, BUF), in Tier 9. Nova projects roughly 64 points this season, about 5.2 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 0% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 19 points (floor) to 91 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
11.7
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
18
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
7
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →64 pt pool
Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.
Per-game points distribution
62%
Bust <10 pts
34%
Solid 10–20 pts
4%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 17 games.
Season outcome range
floor 19 ptmed 64 ptceil 91 pt
0%
P(tier-1)
0%
P(tier-2+)
QB65-QB92
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)0%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 915 | T9 | -191.6 | 0% | QB65-QB92 | 19.1-90.6 |
| Half PPR | 915 | T11 | -183.9 | 0% | QB65-QB92 | 19.1-90.6 |
| Standard | 915 | T13 | -175.8 | 0% | QB65-QB92 | 19.1-90.6 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 894 | T7 | -160.7 | 0% | QB65-QB92 | 19.1-90.6 |