Marvin Mims Jr.
WRDEN· bye 10· Nova #236 · T7DNA X
-72.8
VORP
6.63
PPR / game
Nova overview
Marvin Mims Jr. is Nova's 236th-ranked player overall (WR, DEN), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 104 points this season, about 6.63 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 2% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 37 points (floor) to 172 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades X (Extreme boom/bust). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
14.3
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
13.3
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
10
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →-12%BehindFluke risk
23.5 of 104.5 banked · 4wrevised 98.3
-12% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds.
Per-game points distribution
62%
Bust <10 pts
35%
Solid 10–20 pts
3%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 48 games.
Season outcome range
floor 37 ptmed 104 ptceil 172 pt
2%
P(tier-1)
6%
P(tier-2+)
WR55-WR121
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)2%
Rank edge vs market+36
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 236 | T7 | -72.8 | 2% | WR55-WR121 | 36.7-172.2 |
| Half PPR | 228 | T8 | -62.6 | 2% | WR56-WR121 | 30.2-141.5 |
| Standard | 228 | T9 | -52.6 | 2% | WR55-WR120 | 23.6-110.8 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 251 | T7 | -73.4 | 2% | WR55-WR121 | 36.7-172.2 |