Keaton Mitchell
RBLAC· bye 7· Nova #254 · T7DNA B
-76.8
VORP
170.9
ADP
4.86
PPR / game
Nova overview
Keaton Mitchell is Nova's 254th-ranked player overall (RB, LAC), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 61 points this season, about 4.86 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 171, ahead of Nova's 254.
Nova gives him about a 0% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 15 points (floor) to 114 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
14.7
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
18.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
7
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →61 pt pool
Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.
Per-game points distribution
82%
Bust <10 pts
18%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 24 games.
Season outcome range
floor 15 ptmed 61 ptceil 114 pt
0%
P(tier-1)
2%
P(tier-2+)
RB59-RB88
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)0%
Rank edge vs market-58
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 254 | T7 | -76.8 | 0% | RB59-RB88 | 14.9-114 |
| Half PPR | 254 | T8 | -69.5 | 0% | RB58-RB88 | 13.7-105.1 |
| Standard | 268 | T9 | -60.8 | 0% | RB57-RB87 | 12.5-96.2 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 271 | T7 | -78 | 0% | RB59-RB88 | 14.9-114 |