Josh Palmer
WRBUF· bye 7· Nova #274 · T7DNA S+
-82.2
VORP
6.21
PPR / game
Nova overview
Josh Palmer is Nova's 274th-ranked player overall (WR, BUF), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 90 points this season, about 6.21 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 30 points (floor) to 143 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S+ (Elite consistency). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
16.5
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
16.3
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
7
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+11%Ahead
27.9 of 84.1 banked · 4wrevised 89.1
+11% ahead of pace, some regression likely.
Per-game points distribution
77%
Bust <10 pts
23%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 37 games.
Season outcome range
floor 30 ptmed 90 ptceil 143 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
3%
P(tier-2+)
WR69-WR131
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 274 | T7 | -82.2 | 1% | WR69-WR131 | 29.9-142.9 |
| Half PPR | 275 | T8 | -73.5 | 1% | WR70-WR132 | 24.2-115.6 |
| Standard | 279 | T9 | -63.5 | 1% | WR72-WR133 | 18.5-88.4 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 287 | T7 | -82.8 | 1% | WR69-WR131 | 29.9-142.9 |