Joe Flacco
QBCIN· bye 6· Nova #263 · T7DNA H
-79.7
VORP
11.17
PPR / game
Nova overview
Joe Flacco is Nova's 263rd-ranked player overall (QB, CIN), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 154 points this season, about 11.17 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 2% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 50 points (floor) to 238 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
19.4
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
15
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
6
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →-55%BehindBuy low
21.2 of 133 banked · 4wrevised 91.8
-55% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds, a buy-low window.
Per-game points distribution
38%
Bust <10 pts
44%
Solid 10–20 pts
18%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 25 games.
Season outcome range
floor 50 ptmed 154 ptceil 238 pt
2%
P(tier-1)
7%
P(tier-2+)
QB24-QB55
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)2%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 263 | T7 | -79.7 | 2% | QB24-QB55 | 50.1-237.9 |
| Half PPR | 264 | T8 | -72 | 2% | QB24-QB55 | 50.1-237.9 |
| Standard | 284 | T9 | -63.9 | 2% | QB24-QB55 | 50.1-237.9 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 189 | T7 | -48.7 | 2% | QB24-QB55 | 50.1-237.9 |