Emari Demercado
RBARI· bye 14· Nova #353 · T7DNA B
-98.4
VORP
4.54
PPR / game
Nova overview
Emari Demercado is Nova's 353rd-ranked player overall (RB, ARI), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 62 points this season, about 4.54 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 17 points (floor) to 124 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks soft.
13.2
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
22 soft
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
14
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →62 pt pool
Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.
Per-game points distribution
86%
Bust <10 pts
14%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 36 games.
Season outcome range
floor 17 ptmed 62 ptceil 124 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
3%
P(tier-2+)
RB56-RB87
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Rank edge vs market-52
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 353 | T7 | -98.4 | 1% | RB56-RB87 | 16.5-123.9 |
| Half PPR | 388 | T8 | -91.4 | 1% | RB57-RB87 | 14.4-108.4 |
| Standard | 466 | T9 | -82.7 | 0% | RB58-RB88 | 12.4-93 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 373 | T7 | -99.6 | 1% | RB56-RB87 | 16.5-123.9 |