Elijah Moore
WRBUF· bye 7· Nova #309 · T7DNA S
-91.1
VORP
6.3
PPR / game
Nova overview
Elijah Moore is Nova's 309th-ranked player overall (WR, BUF), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 92 points this season, about 6.3 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 31 points (floor) to 142 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S (Consistent). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
16.5
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
16.3
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
7
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+12%Ahead
27 of 82 banked · 4wrevised 87.2
+12% ahead of pace, some regression likely.
Per-game points distribution
74%
Bust <10 pts
26%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 42 games.
Season outcome range
floor 31 ptmed 92 ptceil 142 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
3%
P(tier-2+)
WR70-WR131
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Rank edge vs market+149
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 309 | T7 | -91.1 | 1% | WR70-WR131 | 30.9-141.8 |
| Half PPR | 319 | T8 | -81.9 | 1% | WR74-WR134 | 24.1-110.8 |
| Standard | 340 | T9 | -71.8 | 1% | WR81-WR139 | 17.4-79.8 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 322 | T7 | -91.6 | 1% | WR70-WR131 | 30.9-141.8 |