Calvin Austin III
WRPIT· bye 9· Nova #288 · T7DNA V
-87.7
VORP
5.68
PPR / game
Nova overview
Calvin Austin III is Nova's 288th-ranked player overall (WR, PIT), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 88 points this season, about 5.68 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 2% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 32 points (floor) to 150 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks soft.
15.7
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
22.3 soft
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
9
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+23%Ahead
28.1 of 88 banked · 4wrevised 98.2
+23% ahead of pace, some regression likely.
Per-game points distribution
74%
Bust <10 pts
26%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 47 games.
Season outcome range
floor 32 ptmed 88 ptceil 150 pt
2%
P(tier-1)
4%
P(tier-2+)
WR67-WR129
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)2%
Rank edge vs market+43
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 288 | T7 | -87.7 | 2% | WR67-WR129 | 31.7-150.2 |
| Half PPR | 281 | T8 | -75.3 | 2% | WR66-WR128 | 26.3-124.8 |
| Standard | 272 | T9 | -61.9 | 2% | WR65-WR127 | 21-99.3 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 299 | T7 | -88.2 | 2% | WR67-WR129 | 31.7-150.2 |