Brian Robinson
RBSF· bye 8· Nova #179 · T7DNA V
-49.6
VORP
6.74
PPR / game
Nova overview
Brian Robinson is Nova's 179th-ranked player overall (RB, SF), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 101 points this season, about 6.74 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 5% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 28 points (floor) to 214 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.
16.7
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
10.3 tough
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
8
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →101 pt pool
Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.
Per-game points distribution
63%
Bust <10 pts
35%
Solid 10–20 pts
2%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 46 games.
Season outcome range
floor 28 ptmed 101 ptceil 214 pt
5%
P(tier-1)
16%
P(tier-2+)
RB32-RB72
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)5%
Rank edge vs market-32
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 179 | T7 | -49.6 | 5% | RB32-RB72 | 28.2-213.5 |
| Half PPR | 179 | T8 | -44.4 | 5% | RB31-RB71 | 26.1-197.9 |
| Standard | 182 | T9 | -37.3 | 6% | RB30-RB70 | 24.1-182.3 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 193 | T7 | -50.8 | 5% | RB32-RB72 | 28.2-213.5 |