Tim Patrick
WRJAX· bye 7· Nova #395 · T7DNA H
-105.4
VORP
4.46
PPR / game
Nova overview
Tim Patrick is Nova's 395th-ranked player overall (WR, JAX), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 66 points this season, about 4.46 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 0% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 24 points (floor) to 109 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
6.3 tough
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
20
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
7
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →66 pt pool
Full preseason budget. Weekly drawdown and pace tracking begin Week 1.
Per-game points distribution
79%
Bust <10 pts
21%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 28 games.
Season outcome range
floor 24 ptmed 66 ptceil 109 pt
0%
P(tier-1)
1%
P(tier-2+)
WR92-WR146
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)0%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 395 | T7 | -105.4 | 0% | WR92-WR146 | 23.8-109.4 |
| Half PPR | 382 | T8 | -90.5 | 0% | WR91-WR145 | 19.8-91.3 |
| Standard | 368 | T9 | -74.3 | 0% | WR88-WR143 | 15.9-73.1 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 411 | T7 | -106 | 0% | WR92-WR146 | 23.8-109.4 |