Mack Hollins
WRNE· bye 11· Nova #266 · T7DNA S
-80.6
VORP
5.91
PPR / game
Nova overview
Mack Hollins is Nova's 266th-ranked player overall (WR, NE), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 90 points this season, about 5.91 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 34 points (floor) to 145 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S (Consistent). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
15.3
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
12
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
11
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+20%Ahead
28.3 of 87.7 banked · 4wrevised 96.5
+20% ahead of pace, some regression likely.
Per-game points distribution
79%
Bust <10 pts
21%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 43 games.
Season outcome range
floor 34 ptmed 90 ptceil 145 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
3%
P(tier-2+)
WR68-WR127
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Rank edge vs market+25
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 266 | T7 | -80.6 | 1% | WR68-WR127 | 34-144.5 |
| Half PPR | 255 | T8 | -70.3 | 1% | WR68-WR128 | 27.6-117.2 |
| Standard | 258 | T9 | -59.1 | 1% | WR70-WR128 | 21.2-89.9 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 280 | T7 | -81.2 | 1% | WR68-WR127 | 34-144.5 |