Joshua Dobbs
QBNE· bye 11· Nova #382 · T7DNA X
-102.6
VORP
11.24
PPR / game
Nova overview
Joshua Dobbs is Nova's 382nd-ranked player overall (QB, NE), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 137 points this season, about 11.24 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 0% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 30 points (floor) to 146 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades X (Extreme boom/bust). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
16.7
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
17.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
11
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+27%Ahead
50.8 of 82.9 banked · 4wrevised 97.6
+27% ahead of pace, some regression likely.
Per-game points distribution
37%
Bust <10 pts
42%
Solid 10–20 pts
21%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 19 games.
Season outcome range
floor 30 ptmed 137 ptceil 146 pt
0%
P(tier-1)
1%
P(tier-2+)
QB43-QB79
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)0%
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 382 | T7 | -102.6 | 0% | QB43-QB79 | 30.2-146.3 |
| Half PPR | 412 | T8 | -94.9 | 0% | QB43-QB79 | 30.2-146.3 |
| Standard | 527 | T9 | -86.8 | 0% | QB43-QB79 | 30.2-146.3 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 240 | T7 | -71.7 | 0% | QB43-QB79 | 30.2-146.3 |