Joe Mixon
RBHOU· bye 8· Nova #93 · T7DNA B
0
VORP
14.68
PPR / game
Nova overview
Joe Mixon is Nova's 93rd-ranked player overall (RB, HOU), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 216 points this season, about 14.68 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 29% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 59 points (floor) to 433 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
18.8
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
12.3
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
8
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+0%On pace
56.6 of 216.1 banked · 4wrevised 216.3
on pace (0%), performing about as projected.
Per-game points distribution
26%
Bust <10 pts
49%
Solid 10–20 pts
25%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 31 games.
Season outcome range
floor 59 ptmed 216 ptceil 433 pt
29%
P(tier-1)
52%
P(tier-2+)
RB11-RB45
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)29%
Rank edge vs market+220
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 93 | T7 | 0 | 29% | RB11-RB45 | 58.5-433.2 |
| Half PPR | 93 | T8 | 0 | 30% | RB11-RB44 | 53.5-396.3 |
| Standard | 89 | T9 | 2.1 | 31% | RB10-RB43 | 48.6-359.4 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 106 | T7 | -1.2 | 29% | RB11-RB45 | 58.5-433.2 |