Christian Kirk
WRHOU· bye 8· Nova #242 · T7DNA B
-73.5
VORP
7.06
PPR / game
Nova overview
Christian Kirk is Nova's 242nd-ranked player overall (WR, HOU), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 97 points this season, about 7.06 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 31 points (floor) to 143 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
19
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
13.3
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
8
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →-33%Behind
18.9 of 83.3 banked · 4wrevised 68.2
-33% behind pace, a bounce-back candidate if the role holds.
Per-game points distribution
63%
Bust <10 pts
35%
Solid 10–20 pts
2%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 31 games.
Season outcome range
floor 31 ptmed 97 ptceil 143 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
3%
P(tier-2+)
WR70-WR131
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Rank edge vs market+26
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 242 | T7 | -73.5 | 1% | WR70-WR131 | 30.6-143.4 |
| Half PPR | 241 | T8 | -65.3 | 1% | WR72-WR133 | 24.3-114 |
| Standard | 247 | T9 | -56.8 | 1% | WR77-WR136 | 18.1-84.6 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 255 | T7 | -74 | 1% | WR70-WR131 | 30.6-143.4 |