Jalen Tolbert
WRDAL· bye 14· Nova #294 · T7DNA B
-88.5
VORP
5.82
PPR / game
Nova overview
Jalen Tolbert is Nova's 294th-ranked player overall (WR, DAL), in Tier 7. Nova projects roughly 87 points this season, about 5.82 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 31 points (floor) to 139 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
19.8
Early SOS (wk 1-4)
20.7
Playoff SOS (wk 15-17)
14
Bye week
Season budget pace
full board →+30%Ahead
29.5 of 81.6 banked · 4wrevised 94.4
+30% ahead of pace, some regression likely.
Per-game points distribution
76%
Bust <10 pts
24%
Solid 10–20 pts
0%
Boom >20 pts
Not one number. The probability of every weekly outcome, from the player’s real week-to-week range across 43 games.
Season outcome range
floor 31 ptmed 87 ptceil 139 pt
1%
P(tier-1)
3%
P(tier-2+)
WR74-WR133
likely finish
Report card
Upside · P(tier-1)1%
Rank edge vs market+50
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 294 | T7 | -88.5 | 1% | WR74-WR133 | 30.9-139.2 |
| Half PPR | 286 | T8 | -76.4 | 1% | WR73-WR132 | 25.5-114.7 |
| Standard | 278 | T9 | -63 | 1% | WR72-WR131 | 20.1-90.3 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 307 | T7 | -89.1 | 1% | WR74-WR133 | 30.9-139.2 |